Emperor Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Round
Shonan Bellmare
vs
Reinmeer Aomori
1 – 0 Full time
Shonan Bellmare
25%
Draw
24%
Reinmeer Aomori
52%
Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori
| Probability | Shonan Bellmare | Draw | Reinmeer Aomori |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 23.6% | 51.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.7% | 23.6% | 51.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Reinmeer Aomori
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
65%
No goals
5%
Shonan Bellmare and Reinmeer Aomori expected goals
Shonan Bellmare
1.36
Reinmeer Aomori
1.96
Total expected goals: 3.33
Shonan Bellmare and Reinmeer Aomori attack and defence ratings
Shonan Bellmare
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Reinmeer Aomori
Attack
2.18 +118%
Defence
0.69 -31%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori: result vs prediction
Shonan Bellmare 1 – 0 Reinmeer Aomori
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reinmeer Aomori | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shonan Bellmare | 24.7% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 51.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reinmeer Aomori win | 29.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 49.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.1% |
Shonan Bellmare vs Reinmeer Aomori stats
Shonan Bellmare and Reinmeer Aomori recent form
| Shonan Bellmare |
LW |
| Reinmeer Aomori |
WLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.