Sanfrecce Hiroshima
vs
Okinawa SV
4 – 1 Full time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa SV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa SV
| Probability | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Okinawa SV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.6% | 17.2% | 8.2% |
| Market | 83.1% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Final | 80.9% | 12.9% | 6.1% |
| Edge | -8.5% | +5.7% | +2.8% |
Why Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Okinawa SV expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Okinawa SV attack and defence ratings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Okinawa SV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa SV: result vs prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 – 1 Okinawa SV
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
- Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Before and after this match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa SV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 80.9% | 1.24 | -8.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 80.9% |
| Draw | 12.9% | |
| Okinawa SV | 6.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 52.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 25.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.8% |
| 3-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa SV stats
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Okinawa SV recent form
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
DWWWWW |
| Okinawa SV |
WLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa SV head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07-03 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Okinawa SV | Emperor Cup | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa SV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.1%, draw 11.5%, away 5.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.11 | 7.40 | 18.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.11 | 8.40 | 17.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 7.50 | 19.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.09 | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| Betano | 1.14 | 6.60 | 13.00 |
| Betfair | 1.07 | 8.50 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.13 | 8.80 | 18.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.11 | 8.40 | 17.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.09 | 8.10 | 12.41 |
| SBO | 1.10 | 6.86 | 11.08 |
| Superbet | 1.11 | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| Unibet | 1.13 | 7.50 | 11.50 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 6.50 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .