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J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0 – 0 Full time

Panasonic Stadium Suita, SuitaReferee: Yusuke Araki, Japan

Gamba Osaka 20%
Draw 23%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 58%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGamba OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
Model20.2%22.3%57.5%
Market19.6%22.8%57.6%
Final19.8%22.6%57.6%
Edge+0.6%-0.5%-0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Sanfrecce Hiroshima

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.22.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gamba Osaka ↓ / Sanfrecce Hiro → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 6% 5% 1 10% 10% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected goals

Gamba Osaka 1.22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.14

Total expected goals: 3.36

Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima attack and defence ratings

Gamba Osaka

Attack 1.27 +27%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Attack 1.56 +56%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: result vs prediction

Gamba Osaka 0 – 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57.6% 1.74 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.58 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.2% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.5% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gamba Osaka19.8%
Draw22.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima57.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.4%
12 (either side)77.4%
X2 (draw or away)80.2%
Handicap -1Sanfrecce Hiroshima win36.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss42.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
1-29.7%
0-27.9%

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima stats

Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima recent form

newest first
Gamba Osaka WLDWWD
Sanfrecce Hiroshima WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gamba Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gamba Osaka record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Gamba Osaka wins 1Draws 6Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Gamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League0-1
2026-03-14Sanfrecce HiroshimaGamba OsakaJ1 League2-0
2025-08-16Sanfrecce HiroshimaGamba OsakaJ1 League1-0
2025-05-11Gamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League0-1
2024-12-08Gamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League3-1
2024-09-11Sanfrecce HiroshimaGamba OsakaEmperor Cup1-2
2024-03-30Sanfrecce HiroshimaGamba OsakaJ1 League1-1
2024-02-10Sanfrecce HiroshimaGamba OsakaFriendlies Clubs1-2
2023-11-25Sanfrecce HiroshimaGamba OsakaJ1 League3-0
2023-03-12Gamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.6%, draw 22.8%, away 57.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.80 4.00 1.64
1xBet 4.76 4.30 1.65
Bet365 5.75 4.00 1.57
BetVictor 4.75 4.10 1.62
Betano 5.00 3.90 1.62
Betfair 4.75 4.20 1.62
Dafabet 5.00 4.30 1.65
Marathonbet 4.65 4.20 1.62
Pinnacle 4.84 4.27 1.63
SBO 4.36 3.76 1.58
Superbet 4.70 4.10 1.62
Unibet 4.75 4.30 1.55
William Hill 4.50 3.90 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.75 —
X 4.10 ▲ +0.15
2 1.62 ▼ -0.03

13 snapshots recorded, from .