Kawasaki Frontale
vs
JEF United Chiba
4 – 2 Full time
Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba
| Probability | Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | JEF United Chiba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.3% | 22.8% | 14.0% |
| Market | 59.8% | 22.3% | 17.9% |
| Final | 60.7% | 22.4% | 16.9% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +0.4% | -3.9% |
Why Kawasaki Frontale
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kawasaki Frontale below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kawasaki Frontale and JEF United Chiba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Kawasaki Frontale and JEF United Chiba attack and defence ratings
Kawasaki Frontale
JEF United Chiba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba: result vs prediction
Kawasaki Frontale 4 – 2 JEF United Chiba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse v Kashiwa Reysol — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
- Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima
Before and after this match
Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 60.7% | 1.65 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 60.7% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| JEF United Chiba | 16.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 37.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba stats
Kawasaki Frontale and JEF United Chiba recent form
| Kawasaki Frontale |
WDDDLL |
| JEF United Chiba |
DLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kawasaki Frontale and JEF United Chiba going into this match
Kawasaki Frontale record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
JEF United Chiba record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Kawasaki Frontale | JEF United Chiba | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | JEF United Chiba | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Kawasaki Frontale | JEF United Chiba | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
| 2021-07-21 | Kawasaki Frontale | JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup | 1-1 |
| 2016-09-22 | Kawasaki Frontale | JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.8%, draw 22.3%, away 17.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.40 | 5.37 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.00 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.95 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 4.30 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.36 | 5.31 |
| SBO | 1.51 | 3.90 | 4.81 |
| Superbet | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .