Emperor Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Round
JEF United Chiba
vs
Azul Claro Numazu
1 – 1 Full time
JEF United Chiba
19%
Draw
22%
Azul Claro Numazu
59%
JEF United Chiba vs Azul Claro Numazu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JEF United Chiba vs Azul Claro Numazu
| Probability | JEF United Chiba | Draw | Azul Claro Numazu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.7% | 22.4% | 59.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.7% | 22.4% | 59.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Azul Claro Numazu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 1 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
JEF United Chiba and Azul Claro Numazu expected goals
JEF United Chiba
1.15
Azul Claro Numazu
2.07
Total expected goals: 3.22
JEF United Chiba and Azul Claro Numazu attack and defence ratings
JEF United Chiba
Attack
0.61 -39%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Azul Claro Numazu
Attack
1.43 +43%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
JEF United Chiba vs Azul Claro Numazu: result vs prediction
JEF United Chiba 1 – 1 Azul Claro Numazu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
JEF United Chiba vs Azul Claro Numazu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azul Claro Numazu | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JEF United Chiba | 18.7% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Azul Claro Numazu | 59.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.5% |
| No | 39.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Azul Claro Numazu win | 35.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 42.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.7% |
JEF United Chiba vs Azul Claro Numazu stats
JEF United Chiba and Azul Claro Numazu recent form
| JEF United Chiba |
LLLLDL |
| Azul Claro Numazu |
W |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.