Cerezo Osaka
vs
FC Gifu
3 – 1 Full time
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
| Probability | Cerezo Osaka | Draw | FC Gifu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.6% | 21.1% | 15.3% |
| Market | 67.7% | 19.4% | 12.9% |
| Final | 66.7% | 19.8% | 13.5% |
| Edge | -4.1% | +1.7% | +2.4% |
Why Cerezo Osaka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cerezo Osaka and FC Gifu expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Cerezo Osaka and FC Gifu attack and defence ratings
Cerezo Osaka
FC Gifu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu: result vs prediction
Cerezo Osaka 3 – 1 FC Gifu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
- Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Before and after this match
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerezo Osaka | 66.7% | 1.50 | -4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cerezo Osaka win | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerezo Osaka | 66.7% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| FC Gifu | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cerezo Osaka win | 41.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 36.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu stats
Cerezo Osaka and FC Gifu recent form
| Cerezo Osaka |
WLWWDW |
| FC Gifu |
WLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-08 | Cerezo Osaka | FC Gifu | J2 League | 3-2 |
| 2016-06-12 | FC Gifu | Cerezo Osaka | J2 League | 0-1 |
| 2015-08-15 | Cerezo Osaka | FC Gifu | J2 League | 1-0 |
| 2015-04-05 | FC Gifu | Cerezo Osaka | J2 League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.7%, draw 19.4%, away 12.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.33 | 4.85 | 7.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.65 | 7.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 4.35 | 6.40 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.65 | 7.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 4.63 | 6.07 |
| SBO | 1.33 | 4.29 | 6.47 |
| Superbet | 1.39 | 4.65 | 6.20 |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.00 | 6.75 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 4.20 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .