Garuda Lions
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J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka

1 – 0 Full time

Noevir Stadium, KobeReferee: Takafumi Mikuriya, Japan

Vissel Kobe 45%
Draw 27%
Cerezo Osaka 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVissel KobeDrawCerezo Osaka
Model29.9%26.2%43.9%
Market49.4%26.8%23.8%
Final44.5%26.7%28.8%
Edge-19.5%-0.6%+20.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vissel Kobe ↓ / Cerezo Osaka → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka expected goals

Vissel Kobe 1.33
Cerezo Osaka 1.68

Total expected goals: 3.01

Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka attack and defence ratings

Vissel Kobe

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Cerezo Osaka

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka: result vs prediction

Vissel Kobe 1 – 0 Cerezo Osaka

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vissel Kobe 44.5% 2.25 -19.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.6% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.8% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.5% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vissel Kobe44.5%
Draw26.7%
Cerezo Osaka28.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.6%
Under 2.542.4%
Both teams to scoreYes60.8%
No39.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)55.5%
Handicap -1Vissel Kobe win13.4%
Push (exactly one goal)16.1%
Loss70.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
1-29.2%
2-17.4%

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka stats

Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka recent form

newest first
Vissel Kobe WLDWLW
Cerezo Osaka WWLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vissel Kobe record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Cerezo Osaka record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Vissel Kobe wins 3Draws 4Cerezo Osaka wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-29Vissel KobeCerezo OsakaJ1 League0-0
2026-03-22Cerezo OsakaVissel KobeJ1 League1-1
2025-08-23Cerezo OsakaVissel KobeJ1 League1-1
2025-05-06Vissel KobeCerezo OsakaJ1 League1-3
2024-09-13Vissel KobeCerezo OsakaJ1 League2-1
2024-05-11Cerezo OsakaVissel KobeJ1 League1-4
2023-09-23Vissel KobeCerezo OsakaJ1 League1-0
2023-06-10Cerezo OsakaVissel KobeJ1 League2-1
2022-08-06Cerezo OsakaVissel KobeJ1 League3-0
2022-04-10Vissel KobeCerezo OsakaJ1 League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.4%, draw 26.8%, away 23.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.50 3.95
1xBet 1.91 3.64 3.99
Bet365 1.90 3.40 4.10
BetVictor 1.90 3.50 3.90
Betano 1.88 3.45 4.00
Betfair 1.85 3.50 4.00
Dafabet 1.95 3.55 4.10
Marathonbet 1.87 3.56 3.90
Pinnacle 1.94 3.52 3.94
SBO 1.84 3.20 3.67
Superbet 1.92 3.40 3.90
Unibet 1.82 3.55 3.90
William Hill 1.85 3.40 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 —
X 3.50 ▼ -0.17
2 3.94 ▲ +0.15

13 snapshots recorded, from .