J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Cerezo Osaka
vs
Kashiwa Reysol
2 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Solomon Sakuragawa | ||
| 42′ | Jackson Irvine | ||
| 45′ | Yuki KakitaMao Hosoya | ||
| 45′ | Hinata YamauchiYusuke Segawa | ||
| 45′ | Koki KumasakaYudai Konishi | ||
| 55′ | Keita EndoKenshin Yuba | ||
| 56′ | Shinji KagawaKosei Okazawa | ||
| 56′ | Thiago AndradeYumeki Yokoyama | ||
| 68′ | Solomon Sakuragawa | ||
| 69′ | Yoshio KoizumiKoya Yuruki | ||
| 79′ | Ricardo Rodríguez Suárez | ||
| 80′ | Solomon SakuragawaPablo Sabbag |
Cerezo Osaka
30%
Draw
26%
Kashiwa Reysol
44%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 5 | Fouls | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 383 | Accurate passes | 424 |
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol
| Probability | Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 25.8% | 39.8% |
| Market | 28.5% | 26.6% | 44.9% |
| Final | 30.0% | 26.4% | 43.6% |
| Edge | +5.9% | -0.8% | -5.0% |
Why Kashiwa Reysol
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol expected goals
Cerezo Osaka
1.51
Kashiwa Reysol
1.63
Total expected goals: 3.14
Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol attack and defence ratings
Cerezo Osaka
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Kashiwa Reysol
Attack
1.34 +34%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol: result vs prediction
Cerezo Osaka 2 – 0 Kashiwa Reysol
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa
- JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale
- Mito Hollyhock v Kashima — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo
- Tokyo Verdy v Vissel Kobe — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 43.6% | 2.29 | -5.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerezo Osaka | 30.0% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.7% |
| No | 36.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashiwa Reysol win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 60.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.0% |
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol stats
Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol recent form
| Cerezo Osaka |
LWWLWW |
| Kashiwa Reysol |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerezo Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol going into this match
Cerezo Osaka record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Kashiwa Reysol record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Cerezo Osaka wins
5Draws
3Kashiwa Reysol wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-26 | Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-03 | Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-08 | Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-05 | Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2021-11-07 | Kashiwa Reysol | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2021-02-27 | Cerezo Osaka | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 26.6%, away 44.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 3.42 | 3.58 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.65 | 2.13 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.54 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.48 | 3.72 | 2.09 |
| SBO | 2.95 | 3.12 | 2.12 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Unibet | 2.95 | 3.45 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.30 ▲ +0.40
X
3.54 ▲ +0.06
2
2.10 ▼ -0.20
6 snapshots recorded, from .