J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Avispa Fukuoka
vs
Urawa
2 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | Matheus Sávio | ||
| 10′ | Danilo | ||
| 24′ | Shosei Usui | ||
| 34′ | Shu Morooka | ||
| 45′ | Ryoma WatanabeHarumi Minamino | ||
| 48′ | Tomoya Miki | ||
| 58′ | Yoichi NaganumaKotaro Hayashi | ||
| 58′ | Masato ShigemiShintaro Nago | ||
| 64′ | Tomoya MikiKokoro Maeda | ||
| 64′ | Shu MorookaWerik Popo | ||
| 65′ | Yuma Tsujioka | ||
| 67′ | Hiiro KomoriAdo Onaiwu | ||
| 67′ | Kaito YasuiHayate Ueki | ||
| 80′ | Yota MaejimaDaiki Fukazawa | ||
| 80′ | Shosei UsuiKohei Okuno | ||
| 83′ | Kotaro Hayashi | ||
| 85′ | Ado Onaiwu | ||
| 88′ | Tatsuki SekoShuta Sasa |
Avispa Fukuoka
39%
Draw
29%
Urawa
32%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 197 | Accurate passes | 413 |
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa
| Probability | Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 26.3% | 35.4% |
| Market | 38.9% | 29.9% | 31.2% |
| Final | 38.8% | 29.0% | 32.3% |
| Edge | -0.6% | -3.6% | +4.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
Avispa Fukuoka and Urawa expected goals
Avispa Fukuoka
1.56
Urawa
1.49
Total expected goals: 3.05
Avispa Fukuoka and Urawa attack and defence ratings
Avispa Fukuoka
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Urawa
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa: result vs prediction
Avispa Fukuoka 2 – 3 Urawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale
- Mito Hollyhock v Kashima — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo
- Tokyo Verdy v Vissel Kobe — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38.8% | 2.58 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 38.8% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Urawa | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Avispa Fukuoka win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | |
| 1-2 | 8.2% |
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa stats
Avispa Fukuoka and Urawa recent form
| Avispa Fukuoka |
LDLWLW |
| Urawa |
WWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Avispa Fukuoka and Urawa going into this match
Avispa Fukuoka record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Urawa record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Avispa Fukuoka wins
4Draws
2Urawa wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Urawa | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Avispa Fukuoka | Urawa | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Avispa Fukuoka | Urawa | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Urawa | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-25 | Urawa | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League | 2-3 |
| 2023-11-04 | Avispa Fukuoka | Urawa | J-League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-20 | Avispa Fukuoka | Urawa | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Urawa | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-28 | Avispa Fukuoka | Urawa | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2021-06-27 | Urawa | Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.9%, draw 29.9%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.22 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43 | 3.35 | 3.09 |
| SBO | 2.31 | 2.95 | 2.78 |
| Superbet | 2.40 | 3.15 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.40 | 3.05 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.40 ▲ +0.15
X
3.12 ▲ +0.02
2
2.99 ▼ -0.31
6 snapshots recorded, from .