J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Tokyo Verdy
vs
Vissel Kobe
0 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | I. Takahashi | ||
| 18′ | Inoue Ryota | ||
| 36′ | Yuya Fukuda | ||
| 39′ | Yuta Goke | ||
| 46′ | N. HayashiM. Sako | ||
| 46′ | Y. GokeM. Hidaka | ||
| 51′ | K. Nagato | ||
| 59′ | Y. MatsuhashiK. Saito | ||
| 59′ | Y. UchidaY. Arai | ||
| 59′ | R. KomatsuY. Osako | ||
| 76′ | Soma Meshino | ||
| 77′ | R. HirakawaS. Kanda | ||
| 77′ | N. IinoY. Kuwasaki | ||
| 84′ | S. MizoguchiH. Hirao | ||
| 89′ | I. TakahashiH. Kawabata |
Tokyo Verdy
23%
Draw
30%
Vissel Kobe
47%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 392 | Accurate passes | 239 |
Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe
| Probability | Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.6% | 29.1% | 46.3% |
| Market | 22.2% | 30.0% | 47.8% |
| Final | 22.8% | 29.8% | 47.4% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -0.9% | -1.5% |
Why Vissel Kobe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Tokyo Verdy and Vissel Kobe expected goals
Tokyo Verdy
0.99
Vissel Kobe
1.44
Total expected goals: 2.43
Tokyo Verdy and Vissel Kobe attack and defence ratings
Tokyo Verdy
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Vissel Kobe
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe: result vs prediction
Tokyo Verdy 0 – 2 Vissel Kobe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa
- Cerezo Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale
- Mito Hollyhock v Kashima — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 47.4% | 2.11 | -1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tokyo Verdy | 22.8% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Vissel Kobe | 47.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vissel Kobe win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.1% |
Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe stats
Tokyo Verdy and Vissel Kobe recent form
| Tokyo Verdy |
LWDLDL |
| Vissel Kobe |
WWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tokyo Verdy and Vissel Kobe going into this match
Tokyo Verdy record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Vissel Kobe record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Tokyo Verdy wins
1Draws
3Vissel Kobe wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | Vissel Kobe | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Tokyo Verdy | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Tokyo Verdy | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-26 | Vissel Kobe | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2013-08-21 | Vissel Kobe | Tokyo Verdy | J2 League | 2-1 |
| 2013-05-12 | Tokyo Verdy | Vissel Kobe | J2 League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.2%, draw 30.0%, away 47.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.10 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 4.61 | 3.22 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.20 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.05 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.20 | 2.09 |
| Marathonbet | 4.50 | 3.14 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 4.78 | 3.28 | 1.92 |
| SBO | 3.28 | 2.80 | 2.14 |
| Superbet | 4.20 | 3.10 | 1.97 |
| Unibet | 4.10 | 3.05 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 2.90 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.20 ▲ +0.28
X
3.10 —
2
1.95 ▼ -0.10
6 snapshots recorded, from .