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J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy

0 – 0 Full time

53′Yota Komi
61′T. NakamuraH. Okuda
62′Y. KomiS. Sakuragawa
64′H. HiraoY. Matsuhashi
64′K. SaitoS. Meshino
73′Thiago AndradeL. Fernandes
78′Y. FukudaS. Kanda
85′A. OhataS. Kagawa
85′Y. YokoyamaP. Sabbag
89′Tokyo VerdyK. Shibato
89′Tokyo VerdyI. Kumatoriya

Yodoko Sakura Stadium, OsakaReferee: Ming Fu, China

Cerezo Osaka 55%
Draw 25%
Tokyo Verdy 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
67 Possession % 33
10 Corners 3
8 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
521 Accurate passes 207

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCerezo OsakaDrawTokyo Verdy
Model64.7%21.8%13.5%
Market52.4%26.6%21.0%
Final55.5%25.4%19.1%
Edge+12.3%-4.9%-7.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Cerezo Osaka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cerezo Osaka below the model: +12.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cerezo Osaka ↓ / Tokyo Verdy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 10% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo Verdy expected goals

Cerezo Osaka 2.08
Tokyo Verdy 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.94

Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo Verdy attack and defence ratings

Cerezo Osaka

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Tokyo Verdy

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy: result vs prediction

Cerezo Osaka 0 – 0 Tokyo Verdy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cerezo Osaka 55.5% 1.80 +12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.3% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.9% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Cerezo Osaka win 41.4% 2.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cerezo Osaka55.5%
Draw25.4%
Tokyo Verdy19.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.3%
Under 2.543.7%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.9%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)44.5%
Handicap -1Cerezo Osaka win41.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss35.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.5%
1-110.4%
1-010.1%

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy stats

Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo Verdy recent form

newest first
Cerezo Osaka WLWWLW
Tokyo Verdy LLWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cerezo Osaka and Tokyo Verdy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cerezo Osaka record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Tokyo Verdy record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Cerezo Osaka wins 2Draws 1Tokyo Verdy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-06-21Cerezo OsakaTokyo VerdyJ1 League2-1
2025-04-25Tokyo VerdyCerezo OsakaJ1 League1-0
2024-07-06Tokyo VerdyCerezo OsakaJ1 League1-1
2024-03-09Cerezo OsakaTokyo VerdyJ1 League2-1
2016-11-12Tokyo VerdyCerezo OsakaJ2 League1-2
2016-06-26Cerezo OsakaTokyo VerdyJ2 League1-0
2015-11-23Cerezo OsakaTokyo VerdyJ2 League2-0
2015-03-08Tokyo VerdyCerezo OsakaJ2 League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.6%, draw 26.9%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.66 4.50
Bet365 1.75 3.40 4.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.50 4.60
Betano 1.83 3.45 4.30
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.20
Dafabet 1.85 3.60 4.50
Marathonbet 1.77 3.58 4.40
Pinnacle 1.83 3.74 4.51
SBO 1.82 3.15 3.86
Superbet 1.82 3.45 4.30
Unibet 1.82 3.40 4.10
William Hill 1.80 3.40 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.01
X 3.54 ▲ +0.06
2 4.50 ▲ +0.16

4 snapshots recorded, from .