J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Tokyo Verdy
vs
JEF United Chiba
1 – 1 Full time
| 19′ | Matheus Vidotto | ||
| 42′ | Masaru Hidaka | ||
| 45′ | Yuya Fukuda | ||
| 45′ | Naohiro SugiyamaErison Danilo de Souza | ||
| 53′ | Daichi Ishikawa | ||
| 58′ | Erison Danilo de Souza | ||
| 65′ | Hayato HiraoKazunari Ichimi | ||
| 74′ | Yuya FukudaIssei Kumatoriya | ||
| 74′ | Kosuke SaitoSoma Meshino | ||
| 75′ | Masaru HidakaKoki Yonekura | ||
| 75′ | Daniel HallTakashi Kawano | ||
| 83′ | Koji Toriumi | ||
| 83′ | Ken YamuraHiroto Goya | ||
| 87′ | Kaito SuzukiYuan Matsuhashi | ||
| 87′ | Erison Danilo de Souza | ||
| 90′ | Matheus Salgueiro PainsTaishi Taguchi | ||
| 90′ | Naoki Hayashi |
Tokyo Verdy
42%
Draw
29%
JEF United Chiba
29%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 324 | Accurate passes | 164 |
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba
| Probability | Tokyo Verdy | Draw | JEF United Chiba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 28.9% | 30.8% |
| Market | 42.6% | 28.9% | 28.4% |
| Final | 42.1% | 28.9% | 29.0% |
| Edge | -2.3% | -0.1% | +2.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Tokyo Verdy and JEF United Chiba expected goals
Tokyo Verdy
1.39
JEF United Chiba
1.19
Total expected goals: 2.57
Tokyo Verdy and JEF United Chiba attack and defence ratings
Tokyo Verdy
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
1.07 +7%
JEF United Chiba
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.42 +42%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba: result vs prediction
Tokyo Verdy 1 – 1 JEF United Chiba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
- Vissel Kobe v Kashima — match page
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka — match page
- Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tokyo Verdy | 42.1% | 2.38 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tokyo Verdy | 42.1% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| JEF United Chiba | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tokyo Verdy win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 0-0 | 8.9% |
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba stats
Tokyo Verdy and JEF United Chiba recent form
| Tokyo Verdy |
DLLWDL |
| JEF United Chiba |
WLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tokyo Verdy and JEF United Chiba going into this match
Tokyo Verdy record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
JEF United Chiba record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Tokyo Verdy wins
2Draws
4JEF United Chiba wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Tokyo Verdy | JEF United Chiba | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 3-2 |
| 2023-11-26 | Tokyo Verdy | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Tokyo Verdy | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-16 | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | J2 League | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-26 | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | J2 League | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Tokyo Verdy | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 1-1 |
| 2021-10-24 | Tokyo Verdy | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 1-5 |
| 2021-06-13 | JEF United Chiba | Tokyo Verdy | J2 League | 0-1 |
| 2020-12-02 | Tokyo Verdy | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 28.8%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 3.30 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.24 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.32 | 3.47 |
| SBO | 2.26 | 2.90 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.20 ▼ -0.01
X
3.24 ▼ -0.10
2
3.30 ▲ +0.14
13 snapshots recorded, from .