J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Vissel Kobe
vs
Kashima
2 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | Keisuke Tsukui | ||
| 25′ | Rikuto Hirose | ||
| 56′ | Yuya Osako | ||
| 65′ | Keisuke TsukuiYan Matheus | ||
| 65′ | Homare TokudaAleksandar Čavrić | ||
| 65′ | Rikuto HiroseRyuta Koike | ||
| 72′ | Katsuya NagatoErik Nascimento de Lima | ||
| 72′ | Yuya OsakoRen Komatsu | ||
| 73′ | Aleksandar Čavrić | ||
| 77′ | Tetsushi Yamakawa | ||
| 79′ | Matheus BuenoGaku Shibasaki | ||
| 81′ | Ryoya OgawaHaruki Hayashi | ||
| 90′ | Kento Misao |
Vissel Kobe
38%
Draw
29%
Kashima
33%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 307 | Accurate passes | 283 |
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vissel Kobe vs Kashima
| Probability | Vissel Kobe | Draw | Kashima |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.2% | 26.6% | 28.3% |
| Market | 35.0% | 29.9% | 35.0% |
| Final | 37.6% | 29.1% | 33.3% |
| Edge | +10.1% | -3.4% | -6.8% |
Why Vissel Kobe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.26.
- The market prices Vissel Kobe below the model: +10.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Vissel Kobe and Kashima expected goals
Vissel Kobe
1.64
Kashima
1.26
Total expected goals: 2.90
Vissel Kobe and Kashima attack and defence ratings
Vissel Kobe
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Kashima
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima: result vs prediction
Vissel Kobe 2 – 1 Kashima
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka — match page
- Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba
Before and after this match
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 37.6% | 2.66 | +10.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 37.6% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Kashima | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vissel Kobe win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima stats
Vissel Kobe and Kashima recent form
| Vissel Kobe |
WWWWLD |
| Kashima |
LLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vissel Kobe and Kashima going into this match
Vissel Kobe record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Kashima record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Vissel Kobe wins
1Draws
4Kashima wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Kashima | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Vissel Kobe | Kashima | J1 League | 5-0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Vissel Kobe | Kashima | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Kashima | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-25 | Kashima | Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup | 0-3 |
| 2024-06-30 | Vissel Kobe | Kashima | J1 League | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Kashima | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Vissel Kobe | Kashima | J1 League | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Kashima | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 1-5 |
| 2022-09-07 | Vissel Kobe | Kashima | Emperor Cup | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.4%, draw 29.7%, away 36.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.80 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.20 | 2.71 |
| 888Sport | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Dafabet | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.46 |
| Marathonbet | 2.68 | 3.12 | 2.65 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75 | 3.27 | 2.75 |
| SBO | 2.77 | 3.01 | 2.29 |
| Superbet | 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.40 |
| Unibet | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.00 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.70 ▼ -0.23
X
3.16 ▼ -0.04
2
2.70 ▲ +0.27
9 snapshots recorded, from .