J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
vs
Cerezo Osaka
6 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Akito Suzuki | ||
| 18′ | Shun Ayukawa | ||
| 45′ | Akito Suzuki | ||
| 45′ | Sho SasakiKim Ju-sung | ||
| 55′ | Shuto Nakano | ||
| 57′ | Shun Ayukawa | ||
| 62′ | Mutsuki KatoTakumu Kawamura | ||
| 62′ | Hayao KawabeTaishi Matsumoto | ||
| 63′ | Thiago AndradeYumeki Yokoyama | ||
| 63′ | Shinnosuke HatanakaShinji Kagawa | ||
| 63′ | Javi HernándezAyumu Ohata | ||
| 63′ | Hayato OkudaPablo Sabbag | ||
| 68′ | Yotaro NakajimaSota Koshimichi | ||
| 75′ | Lucas FernandesSatoki Uejo | ||
| 80′ | Shun Ayukawa | ||
| 81′ | Shun AyukawaRento Noguchi | ||
| 87′ | Pablo Sabbag | ||
| 90′ | Satoki Uejo |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57%
Draw
23%
Cerezo Osaka
20%
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 5 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 351 | Accurate passes | 376 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
| Probability | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.6% | 27.3% | 25.1% |
| Market | 59.6% | 21.7% | 18.7% |
| Final | 56.6% | 23.1% | 20.3% |
| Edge | -12.0% | +5.6% | +6.4% |
Why Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka expected goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.60
Cerezo Osaka
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.70
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka attack and defence ratings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Attack
1.46 +46%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Cerezo Osaka
Attack
1.13 +13%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka: result vs prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6 – 1 Cerezo Osaka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
- Vissel Kobe v Kashima — match page
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka — match page
- Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba
Before and after this match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 56.6% | 1.77 | -12.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 56.6% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Cerezo Osaka | 20.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.4% |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka stats
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka recent form
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
LWDWDW |
| Cerezo Osaka |
DWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka going into this match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Cerezo Osaka record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
3Draws
0Cerezo Osaka wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Cerezo Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Cerezo Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Cerezo Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-21 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-29 | Cerezo Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Cerezo Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J-League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2022-09-07 | Cerezo Osaka | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Emperor Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.6%, draw 21.7%, away 18.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.40 | 5.27 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.25 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.56 | 5.38 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 4.19 | 4.83 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.57 —
X
4.30 ▲ +0.05
2
5.00 ▼ -0.10
4 snapshots recorded, from .