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J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo

0 – 2 Full time

38′Soma Anzai
45′Yuto NagatomoKashif Bangnagande
45′Tokuma SuzukiRin Mito
45′Shion HommaKein Sato
45′Alexander ScholzMasato Morishige
52′Motoki Nagakura
63′Issam JebaliTakashi Usami
63′Deniz HümmetYusei Toshida
67′Motoki NagakuraKota Tawaratsumida
75′Ryotaro MeshinoShinya Nakano
76′Koshiro SumiEli Adams
79′Marcelo
85′MarceloHirokazu Ishihara
89′Hirokazu Ishihara
90′Kashif Bangnagande

Panasonic Stadium Suita, SuitaReferee: Yuzo Sutani, Japan

Gamba Osaka 26%
Draw 25%
FC Tokyo 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 6
53 Possession % 47
5 Corners 13
9 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
337 Accurate passes 296

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGamba OsakaDrawFC Tokyo
Model27.0%25.2%47.9%
Market25.4%25.0%49.5%
Final25.8%25.1%49.1%
Edge+1.5%+0.1%-1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Tokyo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.32.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gamba Osaka ↓ / FC Tokyo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 12% 9% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Gamba Osaka and FC Tokyo expected goals

Gamba Osaka 1.32
FC Tokyo 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.12

Gamba Osaka and FC Tokyo attack and defence ratings

Gamba Osaka

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.02 +2%

FC Tokyo

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo: result vs prediction

Gamba Osaka 0 – 2 FC Tokyo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Tokyo 49.1% 2.04 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.9% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.1% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gamba Osaka25.8%
Draw25.1%
FC Tokyo49.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.2%
Under 2.539.8%
Both teams to scoreYes62.1%
No37.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.9%
12 (either side)74.9%
X2 (draw or away)74.2%
Handicap -1FC Tokyo win27.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss52.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
1-29.5%
0-27.2%

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo stats

Gamba Osaka and FC Tokyo recent form

newest first
Gamba Osaka LDDWLD
FC Tokyo WDWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gamba Osaka and FC Tokyo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gamba Osaka record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

FC Tokyo record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Gamba Osaka wins 2Draws 4FC Tokyo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-06-22Gamba OsakaFC TokyoJ1 League2-0
2025-04-25FC TokyoGamba OsakaJ1 League3-0
2024-08-07Gamba OsakaFC TokyoJ1 League0-0
2024-05-26FC TokyoGamba OsakaJ1 League0-1
2023-10-01FC TokyoGamba OsakaJ1 League3-0
2023-06-11Gamba OsakaFC TokyoJ1 League3-1
2023-04-19FC TokyoGamba OsakaJ-League Cup1-0
2023-04-05Gamba OsakaFC TokyoJ-League Cup3-0
2022-09-10Gamba OsakaFC TokyoJ1 League0-0
2022-04-29FC TokyoGamba OsakaJ1 League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.4%, draw 25.0%, away 49.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.81 3.85 1.90
Bet365 3.70 3.70 1.90
BetVictor 3.90 3.80 1.87
Betano 3.65 3.65 1.91
Betfair 3.70 3.80 1.90
Marathonbet 3.72 3.76 1.86
Pinnacle 3.80 3.95 1.93
SBO 3.60 3.52 1.90
William Hill 3.50 3.50 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.70 ▼ -0.04
X 3.76 ▲ +0.02
2 1.90 ▲ +0.04

4 snapshots recorded, from .