J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
FC Tokyo
vs
Kyoto Sanga
2 – 0 Full time
| 43′ | Weverton Silva de Andrade | ||
| 46′ | Everton MaceioT. Matsuda | ||
| 50′ | Temma Matsuda | ||
| 57′ | Haruki Arai | ||
| 62′ | K. HashimotoY. Nagatomo | ||
| 62′ | S. HommaK. Tawaratsumida | ||
| 62′ | S. AnzaiMarcelo Ryan | ||
| 69′ | Kyoto SangaT. Kato | ||
| 70′ | Marcelo Ryan | ||
| 75′ | Y. IshidaR. Kato | ||
| 75′ | S. YoonS. Fukuoka | ||
| 75′ | Rafael EliasF. Honda | ||
| 75′ | M. Nagakura | ||
| 86′ | S. MuroyaH. Ishihara | ||
| 89′ | M. NagakuraT. Nakagawa |
FC Tokyo
60%
Draw
22%
Kyoto Sanga
18%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 69 | Possession % | 31 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 515 | Accurate passes | 176 |
FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga
| Probability | FC Tokyo | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.8% | 20.4% | 15.7% |
| Market | 58.3% | 23.1% | 18.7% |
| Final | 59.7% | 22.4% | 17.9% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -2.6% | -2.9% |
Why FC Tokyo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Tokyo below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
FC Tokyo and Kyoto Sanga expected goals
FC Tokyo
2.31
Kyoto Sanga
1.09
Total expected goals: 3.40
FC Tokyo and Kyoto Sanga attack and defence ratings
FC Tokyo
Attack
1.39 +39%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Kyoto Sanga
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga: result vs prediction
FC Tokyo 2 – 0 Kyoto Sanga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka
- Kashima vs Urawa — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki
Before and after this match
FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tokyo | 59.7% | 1.68 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tokyo | 59.7% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Kyoto Sanga | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.7% |
| No | 39.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 42.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 36.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga stats
FC Tokyo and Kyoto Sanga recent form
| FC Tokyo |
DWWWDL |
| Kyoto Sanga |
DWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Tokyo and Kyoto Sanga going into this match
FC Tokyo record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Kyoto Sanga record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6FC Tokyo wins
0Draws
4Kyoto Sanga wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-24 | FC Tokyo | Kyoto Sanga | J1 League | 0-4 |
| 2025-05-31 | Kyoto Sanga | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-24 | Kyoto Sanga | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | FC Tokyo | Kyoto Sanga | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | FC Tokyo | Kyoto Sanga | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-18 | Kyoto Sanga | FC Tokyo | J-League Cup | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-26 | FC Tokyo | Kyoto Sanga | J-League Cup | 5-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Kyoto Sanga | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | FC Tokyo | Kyoto Sanga | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-19 | Kyoto Sanga | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.2%, draw 24.2%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.14 | 5.11 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.75 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 3.90 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 4.05 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 4.27 | 5.14 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.48 |
| Superbet | 1.66 | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.65 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.62 ▼ -0.02
X
4.09 ▲ +0.25
2
5.05 ▲ +0.01
4 snapshots recorded, from .