J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Vissel Kobe
vs
V-varen Nagasaki
3 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | K. Nagato | ||
| 34′ | Y. Goke | ||
| 40′ | Motoki Hasegawa | ||
| 46′ | M. SekiguchiMatheus Jesus | ||
| 52′ | Y. Goke | ||
| 57′ | Y. IwasakiN. Campbell | ||
| 66′ | N. IinoY. Muto | ||
| 66′ | Y. OsakoR. Komatsu | ||
| 71′ | H. OnagaS. Yoneda | ||
| 71′ | ThiagoK. Yasuda | ||
| 80′ | DiegoCaetano | ||
| 80′ | Y. GokeM. Hidaka | ||
| 80′ | R. YamadaT. Matsumoto | ||
| 85′ | G. SakaiY. Iwamoto | ||
| 89′ | Norman Campbell | ||
| 90′ | T. Matsumoto |
Vissel Kobe
55%
Draw
26%
V-varen Nagasaki
19%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 417 | Accurate passes | 356 |
Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki
| Probability | Vissel Kobe | Draw | V-varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.8% | 26.2% | 21.0% |
| Market | 56.3% | 25.6% | 18.1% |
| Final | 55.4% | 25.7% | 18.8% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +0.6% | +2.9% |
Why Vissel Kobe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Vissel Kobe and V-varen Nagasaki expected goals
Vissel Kobe
1.71
V-varen Nagasaki
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.71
Vissel Kobe and V-varen Nagasaki attack and defence ratings
Vissel Kobe
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.74 -26%
V-varen Nagasaki
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki: result vs prediction
Vissel Kobe 3 – 1 V-varen Nagasaki
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka
- Kashima vs Urawa — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-pulse — match page
Before and after this match
Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 55.4% | 1.80 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 55.4% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| V-varen Nagasaki | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vissel Kobe win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.7% |
Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki stats
Vissel Kobe and V-varen Nagasaki recent form
| Vissel Kobe |
WWWLDW |
| V-varen Nagasaki |
DLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vissel Kobe and V-varen Nagasaki going into this match
Vissel Kobe record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
V-varen Nagasaki record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
5Vissel Kobe wins
3Draws
0V-varen Nagasaki wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | V-varen Nagasaki | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Vissel Kobe | V-varen Nagasaki | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2018-10-06 | Vissel Kobe | V-varen Nagasaki | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2018-07-18 | V-varen Nagasaki | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2018-04-18 | V-varen Nagasaki | Vissel Kobe | J-League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2018-03-07 | Vissel Kobe | V-varen Nagasaki | J-League Cup | 2-2 |
| 2013-09-15 | V-varen Nagasaki | Vissel Kobe | J2 League | 0-2 |
| 2013-06-22 | Vissel Kobe | V-varen Nagasaki | J2 League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.1%, draw 25.7%, away 18.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.64 | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.72 | 5.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.65 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.69 | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.66 | 3.64 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.81 | 5.24 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.42 | 4.82 |
| Superbet | 1.66 | 3.70 | 5.10 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.67 ▲ +0.02
X
3.68 ▲ +0.08
2
5.20 —
4 snapshots recorded, from .