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J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse

3 – 1 Full time

1′K. Mochiyama
27′Tomoya Fujii
40′Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
44′K. MatsuzakiPark Seung-Wook
46′K. MochiyamaDerik Lacerda
46′K. KonnoMarcinho
57′T. FujiiK. Inoue
57′K. KinoshitaOh Se-Hun
58′Y. YoshidaM. Brunetti
68′Oh Se-Hun
72′Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa
73′K. TachibanadaY. Ozeki
77′Marcinho
80′Mateus Brunetti Valor
82′A. SasakiS. Miura
83′Yuji Takahashi
86′Y. ShimamotoK. Kozuka
90′T. ItoS. Yamaichi
90′Marcinho

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, KawasakiReferee: Jumpei Iida, Japan

Kawasaki Frontale 50%
Draw 26%
Shimizu S-pulse 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 4
56 Possession % 44
8 Corners 5
16 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 0
3 Saves 5
426 Accurate passes 291

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKawasaki FrontaleDrawShimizu S-pulse
Model50.1%29.1%20.8%
Market50.4%25.6%24.0%
Final50.3%26.5%23.2%
Edge-0.3%+3.5%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Kawasaki Frontale

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.86.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kawasaki Front ↓ / Shimizu S-puls → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 13% 14% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Kawasaki Frontale and Shimizu S-pulse expected goals

Kawasaki Frontale 1.46
Shimizu S-pulse 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.32

Kawasaki Frontale and Shimizu S-pulse attack and defence ratings

Kawasaki Frontale

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Shimizu S-pulse

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse: result vs prediction

Kawasaki Frontale 3 – 1 Shimizu S-pulse

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kawasaki Frontale 50.3% 1.99 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.1% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 54.6% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kawasaki Frontale50.3%
Draw26.5%
Shimizu S-pulse23.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.9%
Under 2.559.1%
Both teams to scoreYes45.4%
No54.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.8%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)49.7%
Handicap -1Kawasaki Frontale win25.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-013.2%
0-011.1%

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse stats

Kawasaki Frontale and Shimizu S-pulse recent form

newest first
Kawasaki Frontale LWWDDD
Shimizu S-pulse DLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kawasaki Frontale and Shimizu S-pulse going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kawasaki Frontale record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Shimizu S-pulse record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Kawasaki Frontale wins 2Draws 1Shimizu S-pulse wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-18Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulseJ1 League5-3
2025-04-12Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League1-1
2023-04-19Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulseJ-League Cup6-0
2023-03-08Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki FrontaleJ-League Cup3-2
2022-10-08Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulseJ1 League3-2
2022-05-07Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League0-2
2021-10-24Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulseJ1 League1-0
2021-08-18Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulseEmperor Cup2-1
2021-07-17Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League0-2
2020-12-05Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 25.7%, away 24.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.85 3.65 3.85
1xBet 1.89 3.70 4.01
Bet365 1.85 3.50 3.90
BetVictor 1.87 3.80 3.90
Betano 1.87 3.55 3.95
Betfair 1.80 3.90 3.90
Dafabet 1.90 3.75 4.10
Marathonbet 1.85 3.62 3.92
Pinnacle 1.88 3.76 4.19
SBO 1.86 3.38 3.38
Superbet 1.87 3.60 3.90
Unibet 1.78 3.70 3.90
William Hill 1.83 3.50 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.86 ▲ +0.01
X 3.66 —
2 3.91 ▲ +0.01

4 snapshots recorded, from .