J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
JEF United Chiba
vs
Gamba Osaka
2 – 0 Full time
| 1′ | K. Yamura | ||
| 52′ | T. Tsukui | ||
| 55′ | Naohiro Sugiyama | ||
| 59′ | S. NakanoR. Hatsuse | ||
| 59′ | S. SasakiS. Fukuoka | ||
| 59′ | T. SuzukiK. Sumi | ||
| 61′ | K. YamuraH. Goya | ||
| 68′ | Hiroto Goya | ||
| 78′ | R. IshioT. Iida | ||
| 78′ | Y. KobayashiT. Taguchi | ||
| 84′ | Matheus IndioEduardo | ||
| 84′ | T. TsukuiN. Tsubaki | ||
| 85′ | R. MeshinoT. Tono | ||
| 90′ | E. AdamsA. Okamoto |
JEF United Chiba
25%
Draw
25%
Gamba Osaka
50%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 37 | Possession % | 63 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 5 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 258 | Accurate passes | 476 |
JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka
| Probability | JEF United Chiba | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.3% | 19.1% | 66.6% |
| Market | 28.1% | 27.0% | 44.9% |
| Final | 24.7% | 25.0% | 50.3% |
| Edge | -13.9% | -7.9% | +21.8% |
Why Gamba Osaka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Gamba Osaka below the model: +21.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
JEF United Chiba and Gamba Osaka expected goals
JEF United Chiba
1.09
Gamba Osaka
2.46
Total expected goals: 3.54
JEF United Chiba and Gamba Osaka attack and defence ratings
JEF United Chiba
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.58 +58%
Gamba Osaka
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka: result vs prediction
JEF United Chiba 2 – 0 Gamba Osaka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock — match page
- Kashima vs Urawa — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-pulse — match page
Before and after this match
JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gamba Osaka | 50.3% | 1.99 | +21.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Gamba Osaka win | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JEF United Chiba | 24.7% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Gamba Osaka | 50.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gamba Osaka win | 45.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 33.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.5% |
| 0-2 | 8.7% | |
| 1-1 | 8.5% |
JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka stats
JEF United Chiba and Gamba Osaka recent form
| JEF United Chiba |
LLDLLL |
| Gamba Osaka |
DDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JEF United Chiba and Gamba Osaka going into this match
JEF United Chiba record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gamba Osaka record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1JEF United Chiba wins
1Draws
1Gamba Osaka wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-07-12 | Gamba Osaka | JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup | 2-0 |
| 2013-07-07 | JEF United Chiba | Gamba Osaka | J2 League | 3-0 |
| 2013-03-24 | Gamba Osaka | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.6%, draw 27.4%, away 44.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 3.52 | 2.14 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.35 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.22 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.44 | 2.09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.44 | 3.72 | 2.11 |
| SBO | 2.85 | 3.08 | 2.20 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.17 |
| Unibet | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.34 ▲ +0.14
X
3.48 ▲ +0.03
2
2.09 ▼ -0.06
4 snapshots recorded, from .