J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Kashiwa Reysol
vs
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 – 2 Full time
| 19′ | R. Miyaichi | ||
| 38′ | Kosei Suwama | ||
| 43′ | Keita Endo | ||
| 46′ | K. EndoT. Kubo | ||
| 46′ | Y. KonishiK. Kumasaka | ||
| 46′ | M. WataiY. Segawa | ||
| 48′ | R. Nitta | ||
| 52′ | S. FujioM. Hosoya | ||
| 60′ | R. NittaJ. Amano | ||
| 68′ | S. BabaW. Harada | ||
| 70′ | R. YamaneK. Chinen | ||
| 70′ | T. KondoS. Miidera | ||
| 82′ | R. TsunodaK. Sekitomi | ||
| 82′ | R. MiyaichiJ. Croux |
Kashiwa Reysol
52%
Draw
25%
Yokohama F. Marinos
23%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 478 | Accurate passes | 290 |
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
| Probability | Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Yokohama F. Marinos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 26.8% | 33.6% |
| Market | 56.8% | 24.3% | 18.9% |
| Final | 52.5% | 24.9% | 22.6% |
| Edge | -17.3% | +2.5% | +14.7% |
Why Kashiwa Reysol
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
6%
Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F. Marinos expected goals
Kashiwa Reysol
1.53
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.40
Total expected goals: 2.94
Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F. Marinos attack and defence ratings
Kashiwa Reysol
Attack
1.22 +22%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Yokohama F. Marinos
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos: result vs prediction
Kashiwa Reysol 0 – 2 Yokohama F. Marinos
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka
- Kashima vs Urawa — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-pulse — match page
Before and after this match
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 52.5% | 1.91 | -17.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 52.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Yokohama F. Marinos | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.3% |
| No | 39.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashiwa Reysol win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos stats
Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F. Marinos recent form
| Kashiwa Reysol |
LWWWWW |
| Yokohama F. Marinos |
DLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kashiwa Reysol and Yokohama F. Marinos going into this match
Kashiwa Reysol record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Yokohama F. Marinos record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
8Kashiwa Reysol wins
0Draws
2Yokohama F. Marinos wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Kashiwa Reysol | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Kashiwa Reysol | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Kashiwa Reysol | Yokohama F. Marinos | J-League Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-03 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kashiwa Reysol | J-League Cup | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-14 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-05 | Kashiwa Reysol | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-29 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2023-09-02 | Kashiwa Reysol | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-10 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 4-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 24.9%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.93 | 4.96 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.71 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.84 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.02 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 3.52 | 4.30 |
| Superbet | 1.68 | 3.75 | 4.80 |
| Unibet | 1.73 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.66 ▼ -0.02
X
3.88 ▲ +0.13
2
4.98 ▲ +0.23
4 snapshots recorded, from .