J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Kashima
vs
Urawa
0 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Danilo Boza | ||
| 20′ | Y. Suzuki | ||
| 42′ | Tatsuki Seko | ||
| 46′ | H. HayashuY. Matsumura | ||
| 46′ | A. InagakiS. Sasa | ||
| 46′ | H. KomoriA. Onaiwu | ||
| 55′ | Aleksandar Čavrić | ||
| 60′ | R. WatanabeMatheus Savio | ||
| 63′ | A. CavricK. Tagawa | ||
| 64′ | Matheus BuenoG. Shibasaki | ||
| 68′ | KashimaM. Yoshida | ||
| 68′ | T. SekoE. Katayama | ||
| 70′ | Kenta Nemoto | ||
| 80′ | K. MisaoR. Hirose | ||
| 80′ | T. KanekoH. Minamino |
Kashima
52%
Draw
24%
Urawa
24%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 372 | Accurate passes | 232 |
Kashima vs Urawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashima vs Urawa
| Probability | Kashima | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 20.8% | 27.8% |
| Market | 52.4% | 25.2% | 22.4% |
| Final | 52.1% | 24.1% | 23.8% |
| Edge | -1.0% | -4.4% | +5.4% |
Why Kashima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 1.76.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
78%
No goals
2%
Kashima and Urawa expected goals
Kashima
2.38
Urawa
1.76
Total expected goals: 4.14
Kashima and Urawa attack and defence ratings
Kashima
Attack
1.38 +38%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Urawa
Attack
1.28 +28%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kashima vs Urawa: result vs prediction
Kashima 0 – 1 Urawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka v Mito Hollyhock — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka
- Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-pulse — match page
Before and after this match
Kashima vs Urawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 52.1% | 1.92 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 52.1% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Urawa | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.8% |
| No | 24.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 32.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.9% |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Kashima vs Urawa stats
Kashima and Urawa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kashima and Urawa going into this match
Kashima record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Urawa record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kashima vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Kashima wins
7Draws
0Urawa wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Kashima | Urawa | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Urawa | Kashima | J1 League | 2-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Urawa | Kashima | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Kashima | Urawa | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Kashima | Urawa | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-22 | Urawa | Kashima | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-28 | Kashima | Urawa | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2023-06-04 | Urawa | Kashima | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-03 | Kashima | Urawa | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2022-05-21 | Urawa | Kashima | J1 League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kashima vs Urawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.9%, draw 25.8%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.79 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.60 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.92 | 4.20 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 3.32 | 3.79 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 3.55 | 4.30 |
| Unibet | 1.81 | 3.45 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.80 —
X
3.75 ▲ +0.15
2
4.20 ▲ +0.01
4 snapshots recorded, from .