Urawa
vs
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | DaniloKota Kudo | ||
| 18′ | Hiroshi Omori | ||
| 27′ | Harumi Minamino | ||
| 38′ | Eiji Miyamoto | ||
| 56′ | Ataru EsakaNa Sang-Ho | ||
| 56′ | Kota KawanoKamiya Yuta | ||
| 59′ | Lucas Marcos Meireles | ||
| 63′ | Matheus SávioRyoma Watanabe | ||
| 63′ | Tatsuki SekoKaito Yasui | ||
| 64′ | Lucas Marcos MeirelesLéo Gaúcho | ||
| 72′ | Kota MizunumaMiki Yamane | ||
| 72′ | Ado OnaiwuHiiro Komori | ||
| 75′ | Haruka Motoyama | ||
| 80′ | Ibuki FujitaSoichiro Mori | ||
| 80′ | Kosuke ShiraiNoah Kenshin Browne | ||
| 80′ | Hayate Ueki | ||
| 90′ | Eiji MiyamotoDaichi Tagami | ||
| 90′ | Hayate Ueki Shuta Sasa | ||
| 90′ | Yugo Tatsuta |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 404 | Accurate passes | 223 |
Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama
| Probability | Urawa | Draw | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 26.0% | 42.5% |
| Market | 40.9% | 27.7% | 31.4% |
| Final | 38.6% | 27.3% | 34.2% |
| Edge | -9.4% | -1.7% | +11.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Urawa and Fagiano Okayama expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Urawa and Fagiano Okayama attack and defence ratings
Urawa
Fagiano Okayama
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama: result vs prediction
Urawa 1 – 2 Fagiano Okayama
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
- Vissel Kobe v Kashima — match page
- Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka — match page
- Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 38.6% | 2.59 | -9.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 38.6% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Fagiano Okayama | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Urawa win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 68.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.7% |
Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama stats
Urawa and Fagiano Okayama recent form
| Urawa |
WWWWLL |
| Fagiano Okayama |
WWLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Urawa and Fagiano Okayama going into this match
Urawa record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Fagiano Okayama record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Urawa | Fagiano Okayama | J1 League | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-31 | Fagiano Okayama | Urawa | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Fagiano Okayama | Urawa | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Urawa | Fagiano Okayama | J1 League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 27.7%, away 31.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.45 | 3.45 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.25 | 3.42 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.59 | 3.10 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 3.02 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .