J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Mito Hollyhock
vs
Kawasaki Frontale
0 – 1 Full time
| 59′ | Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa | ||
| 59′ | Koshi OsakiYu Funabashi | ||
| 71′ | Kotaro UchinoChihiro Kato | ||
| 72′ | Kaito TaniguchiHayata Yamamoto | ||
| 72′ | Yoshiki TorikaiJin Okumura | ||
| 76′ | Tatsuya ItoKazuya Konno | ||
| 76′ | Hiroto TaniguchiFilip Uremović | ||
| 80′ | Filip Uremović | ||
| 83′ | Marcio Augusto da Silva BarbosaAsahi Sasaki | ||
| 83′ | Kyosuke MochiyamaYuto Ozeki | ||
| 83′ | Arata WatanabeRyo Nemoto | ||
| 87′ | Pedro Romano | ||
| 88′ | Taishi Semba | ||
| 90′ | Pedro RomanoSo Kawahara |
Mito Hollyhock
29%
Draw
26%
Kawasaki Frontale
45%
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Saves | 2 |
| 517 | Accurate passes | 371 |
Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale
| Probability | Mito Hollyhock | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.8% | 25.3% | 46.9% |
| Market | 29.3% | 26.0% | 44.7% |
| Final | 28.9% | 25.9% | 45.2% |
| Edge | -1.5% | -0.7% | +2.3% |
Why Kawasaki Frontale
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kawasaki Frontale below the model: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
6%
Mito Hollyhock and Kawasaki Frontale expected goals
Mito Hollyhock
1.33
Kawasaki Frontale
1.77
Total expected goals: 3.10
Mito Hollyhock and Kawasaki Frontale attack and defence ratings
Mito Hollyhock
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Kawasaki Frontale
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale: result vs prediction
Mito Hollyhock 0 – 1 Kawasaki Frontale
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol
- Vissel Kobe v Kashima — match page
- Shimizu S-pulse v Avispa Fukuoka — match page
- Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia v Yokohama F. Marinos — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs JEF United Chiba
Before and after this match
Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 45.2% | 2.21 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mito Hollyhock | 28.9% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.1% |
| No | 37.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 7.1% |
Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale stats
Mito Hollyhock and Kawasaki Frontale recent form
| Mito Hollyhock |
DWDLWD |
| Kawasaki Frontale |
WLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mito Hollyhock and Kawasaki Frontale going into this match
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Kawasaki Frontale record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
0Mito Hollyhock wins
2Draws
2Kawasaki Frontale wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Mito Hollyhock | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 1-3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Kawasaki Frontale | Mito Hollyhock | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-12 | Kawasaki Frontale | Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup | 2-1 |
| 2018-07-11 | Kawasaki Frontale | Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mito Hollyhock vs Kawasaki Frontale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.3%, draw 26.0%, away 44.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.28 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.20 | 3.52 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.26 | 3.68 | 2.20 |
| SBO | 3.13 | 3.44 | 2.08 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.20 ▼ -0.21
X
3.60 ▼ -0.10
2
2.10 ▲ +0.10
4 snapshots recorded, from .