J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Yokohama F. Marinos
vs
Mito Hollyhock
2 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | Jeison Quiñónes | ||
| 25′ | Kei Chinen | ||
| 25′ | Yasuki Kimoto | ||
| 45′ | Kotaro UchinoJin Okumura | ||
| 46′ | Jin Okumura | ||
| 54′ | Yasuki KimotoAkinari Kawazura | ||
| 54′ | Tomoki KondoShin Miidera | ||
| 54′ | Kosuke MatsumuraJun Amano | ||
| 66′ | Arata WatanabeRyo Nemoto | ||
| 66′ | Kaito TaniguchiHayata Yamamoto | ||
| 76′ | Ryo MiyaichiJordy Croux | ||
| 76′ | Toichi SuzukiKanta Sekitomi | ||
| 76′ | Kei ChinenTakuya Kida | ||
| 77′ | Takuya Kida | ||
| 81′ | Yu FunabashiHugo Leonardo | ||
| 82′ | Takumi Mase | ||
| 83′ | Riku Yamane |
Yokohama F. Marinos
49%
Draw
26%
Mito Hollyhock
25%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 5 |
| 5 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 379 | Accurate passes | 378 |
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock
| Probability | Yokohama F. Marinos | Draw | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.8% | 25.9% | 17.2% |
| Market | 46.5% | 26.3% | 27.1% |
| Final | 49.1% | 26.2% | 24.6% |
| Edge | +10.3% | -0.4% | -9.9% |
Why Yokohama F. Marinos
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Yokohama F. Marinos below the model: +10.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Yokohama F. Marinos and Mito Hollyhock expected goals
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.72
Mito Hollyhock
0.85
Total expected goals: 2.56
Yokohama F. Marinos and Mito Hollyhock attack and defence ratings
Yokohama F. Marinos
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Mito Hollyhock
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock: result vs prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos 2 – 0 Mito Hollyhock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima
- Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba
- Urawa v Tokyo Verdy — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka — team news & stats
- FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga — team news & stats
- Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 49.1% | 2.04 | +10.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 49.1% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Mito Hollyhock | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.0% |
| No | 52.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Yokohama F. Marinos win | 32.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 43.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.3% |
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock stats
Yokohama F. Marinos and Mito Hollyhock recent form
| Yokohama F. Marinos |
DWDLWW |
| Mito Hollyhock |
LDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yokohama F. Marinos and Mito Hollyhock going into this match
Yokohama F. Marinos record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Yokohama F. Marinos wins
2Draws
1Mito Hollyhock wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Mito Hollyhock | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Mito Hollyhock | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2024-07-10 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 26.3%, away 27.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.63 | 3.51 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.67 | 3.55 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.19 | 3.12 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.01 ▲ +0.01
X
3.55 ▼ -0.10
2
3.45 ▼ -0.02
14 snapshots recorded, from .