J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Gamba Osaka
vs
Vissel Kobe
0 – 1 Full time
| 40′ | Shuto Abe | ||
| 45′ | Shinnosuke Nakatani | ||
| 45′ | Gotoku SakaiYuan Iwamoto | ||
| 45′ | Yuta GokeErik Nascimento de Lima | ||
| 63′ | Yusei ToshidaDeniz Hümmet | ||
| 70′ | Ryoya Yamashita | ||
| 73′ | Katsuya NagatoJean Patric Lima dos Reis | ||
| 80′ | Ryotaro MeshinoKoshiro Sumi | ||
| 80′ | Soya FujiwaraShinya Nakano | ||
| 87′ | Ryoya YamashitaTakashi Usami | ||
| 90′ | Erik Nascimento de Lima | ||
| 90′ | Yuya OsakoRen Komatsu |
Gamba Osaka
27%
Draw
28%
Vissel Kobe
46%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 315 | Accurate passes | 198 |
Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe
| Probability | Gamba Osaka | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.1% | 27.1% | 50.8% |
| Market | 28.1% | 28.1% | 43.8% |
| Final | 26.6% | 27.9% | 45.5% |
| Edge | -6.0% | -1.0% | +7.0% |
Why Vissel Kobe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vissel Kobe below the model: +7.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Gamba Osaka and Vissel Kobe expected goals
Gamba Osaka
1.00
Vissel Kobe
1.62
Total expected goals: 2.62
Gamba Osaka and Vissel Kobe attack and defence ratings
Gamba Osaka
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Vissel Kobe
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.71 -29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe: result vs prediction
Gamba Osaka 0 – 1 Vissel Kobe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima
- Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba
- Urawa v Tokyo Verdy — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka — team news & stats
- FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga — team news & stats
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock
Before and after this match
Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 45.5% | 2.20 | +7.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gamba Osaka | 26.6% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Vissel Kobe | 45.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vissel Kobe win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe stats
Gamba Osaka and Vissel Kobe recent form
| Gamba Osaka |
LLDDWL |
| Vissel Kobe |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gamba Osaka and Vissel Kobe going into this match
Gamba Osaka record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Vissel Kobe record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Gamba Osaka wins
3Draws
5Vissel Kobe wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 5-0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vissel Kobe | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Vissel Kobe | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 3-2 |
| 2024-11-23 | Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Vissel Kobe | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2024-06-22 | Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | Gamba Osaka | Vissel Kobe | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Vissel Kobe | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | Vissel Kobe | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.5%, draw 28.3%, away 43.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.32 | 2.12 |
| Pinnacle | 3.46 | 3.43 | 2.18 |
| SBO | 2.95 | 2.99 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.36 ▲ +0.06
X
3.36 ▲ +0.08
2
2.16 ▲ +0.01
8 snapshots recorded, from .