J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Shimizu S-pulse
vs
JEF United Chiba
2 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | Matheus Salgueiro Pains | ||
| 47′ | Kai Matsuzaki | ||
| 63′ | Kenta InoueTomoya Fujii | ||
| 63′ | Ryo GermainKoya Kitagawa | ||
| 64′ | Naohiro SugiyamaMakoto Himeno | ||
| 71′ | Oh Se-hun | ||
| 76′ | Kai MatsuzakiTaiki Hirato | ||
| 76′ | Won Du-jaeDieguinho | ||
| 77′ | Yusuke KobayashiTaishi Taguchi | ||
| 77′ | Ken YamuraHiroto Goya | ||
| 77′ | Takumi TsukuiZain Issaka | ||
| 79′ | Hidehiro Sugai | ||
| 81′ | Tomoya Fujii | ||
| 81′ | Takayuki Yoshida | ||
| 86′ | Masaru HidakaTakayuki Mae | ||
| 90′ | Oh Se-hunKosuke Kinoshita |
Shimizu S-pulse
49%
Draw
28%
JEF United Chiba
23%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 324 | Accurate passes | 321 |
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba
| Probability | Shimizu S-pulse | Draw | JEF United Chiba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.8% | 30.7% | 27.5% |
| Market | 51.4% | 27.7% | 20.9% |
| Final | 49.0% | 28.4% | 22.6% |
| Edge | -9.6% | +3.0% | +6.6% |
Why Shimizu S-pulse
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba expected goals
Shimizu S-pulse
1.29
JEF United Chiba
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.29
Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba attack and defence ratings
Shimizu S-pulse
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
0.92 -8%
JEF United Chiba
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba: result vs prediction
Shimizu S-pulse 2 – 1 JEF United Chiba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima
- Urawa v Tokyo Verdy — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka — team news & stats
- FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga — team news & stats
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock
- Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shimizu S-pulse | 49.0% | 2.04 | -9.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shimizu S-pulse | 49.0% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| JEF United Chiba | 22.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shimizu S-pulse win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba stats
Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba recent form
| Shimizu S-pulse |
WLDLWL |
| JEF United Chiba |
DWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba going into this match
Shimizu S-pulse record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
JEF United Chiba record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
3Shimizu S-pulse wins
2Draws
1JEF United Chiba wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-06 | Shimizu S-pulse | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-20 | JEF United Chiba | Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League | 1-3 |
| 2023-07-16 | Shimizu S-pulse | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 2-2 |
| 2023-05-17 | JEF United Chiba | Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League | 1-0 |
| 2016-07-24 | JEF United Chiba | Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League | 3-4 |
| 2016-06-19 | Shimizu S-pulse | JEF United Chiba | J2 League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 27.7%, away 20.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.48 | 4.57 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.35 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.54 | 4.78 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 3.18 | 3.57 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.83 ▼ -0.05
X
3.40 ▼ -0.10
2
4.50 ▲ +0.60
9 snapshots recorded, from .