J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Kawasaki Frontale
vs
Kashima
3 – 3 Full time
| 28′ | Toru Oniki | ||
| 37′ | Yuki Yamamoto | ||
| 43′ | Derik Lacerda | ||
| 44′ | Léo Ceará | ||
| 45′ | Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa | ||
| 45′ | Matheus BuenoGaku Shibasaki | ||
| 45′ | Homare TokudaAleksandar Čavrić | ||
| 45′ | Keisuke TsukuiKento Misao | ||
| 54′ | Tatsuya Ito | ||
| 60′ | Kento Misao | ||
| 67′ | Léo Ceará | ||
| 67′ | Marcio Augusto da Silva BarbosaRyuki Osa | ||
| 70′ | Ryuta KoikeRikuto Hirose | ||
| 82′ | Yuma SuzukiYan Matheus | ||
| 83′ | Yuta Matsumura | ||
| 83′ | Derik LacerdaKyosuke Mochiyama | ||
| 86′ | Kento TachibanadaSo Kawahara | ||
| 86′ | Tatsuya ItoAkihiro Ienaga | ||
| 90′ | Pedro Romano | ||
| 90′ | Pedro Romano | ||
| 90′ | Tatsuya Ito |
Kawasaki Frontale
37%
Draw
26%
Kashima
37%
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 8 |
| 454 | Accurate passes | 369 |
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima
| Probability | Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Kashima |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 25.0% | 29.5% |
| Market | 34.7% | 26.2% | 39.1% |
| Final | 37.4% | 25.9% | 36.7% |
| Edge | +10.8% | -1.2% | -9.6% |
Why Kawasaki Frontale
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kawasaki Frontale below the model: +10.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
62%
No goals
5%
Kawasaki Frontale and Kashima expected goals
Kawasaki Frontale
1.79
Kashima
1.42
Total expected goals: 3.21
Kawasaki Frontale and Kashima attack and defence ratings
Kawasaki Frontale
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Kashima
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima: result vs prediction
Kawasaki Frontale 3 – 3 Kashima
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba
- Urawa v Tokyo Verdy — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka — team news & stats
- FC Tokyo v Nagoya Grampus — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga — team news & stats
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Mito Hollyhock
- Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 37.4% | 2.67 | +10.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 37.4% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Kashima | 36.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.2% |
| No | 35.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima stats
Kawasaki Frontale and Kashima recent form
| Kawasaki Frontale |
WWLWWD |
| Kashima |
LLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kawasaki Frontale and Kashima going into this match
Kawasaki Frontale record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Kashima record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Kawasaki Frontale wins
0Draws
5Kashima wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Kawasaki Frontale | Kashima | J1 League | 0-2 |
| 2026-03-14 | Kashima | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Kawasaki Frontale | Kashima | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-11 | Kashima | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-01 | Kawasaki Frontale | Kashima | J1 League | 1-3 |
| 2024-03-17 | Kashima | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-24 | Kawasaki Frontale | Kashima | J1 League | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-25 | Kashima | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-27 | Kawasaki Frontale | Kashima | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2022-02-26 | Kashima | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashima odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 26.2%, away 39.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.74 | 3.68 | 2.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.58 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.79 | 3.75 | 2.45 |
| SBO | 2.50 | 3.28 | 2.35 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.70 ▲ +0.09
X
3.58 ▼ -0.04
2
2.40 ▼ -0.02
14 snapshots recorded, from .