Emperor Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

2 – 0 Full time

12′Marcinho
14′E. Watanabe
31′F. Uremovic
50′S. Miura
60′R. YamauchiY. Iesaka
60′S. SakaiK. Murakoshi
65′Derik LacerdaK. Mochiyama
72′K. Mochiyama
72′R. InoueK. Hashimoto
73′R. SatoK. Okumura
74′T. ItoS. Yamaichi
74′MarcinhoA. Ienaga
83′Y. WakizakaR. Osa
83′Y. MaruyamaR. Yamahara
85′S. MiyawakiY. Shimokawa

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki

Kawasaki Frontale 58%
Draw 24%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKawasaki FrontaleDrawTegevajaro Miyazaki
Model64.1%21.9%14.0%
Market55.6%24.1%20.3%
Final57.7%23.5%18.8%
Edge+8.5%-2.1%-6.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Kawasaki Frontale

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kawasaki Frontale below the model: +8.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kawasaki Front ↓ / Tegevajaro Miy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 10% 2 11% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 7% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Kawasaki Frontale and Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected goals

Kawasaki Frontale 2.08
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.96

Kawasaki Frontale and Tegevajaro Miyazaki attack and defence ratings

Kawasaki Frontale

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: result vs prediction

Kawasaki Frontale 2 – 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kawasaki Frontale 57.7% 1.73 +8.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.2% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Kawasaki Frontale win 41.0% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kawasaki Frontale57.7%
Draw23.5%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki18.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.7%
Under 2.543.3%
Both teams to scoreYes52.2%
No47.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.2%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)42.3%
Handicap -1Kawasaki Frontale win41.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss35.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.2%
1-110.5%
2-19.9%

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki stats

Kawasaki Frontale and Tegevajaro Miyazaki recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.6%, draw 24.1%, away 20.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.75 3.70 4.24
BetVictor 1.53 4.10 5.00
Betfair 1.62 3.90 4.40
Marathonbet 1.68 3.78 4.45
SBO 1.56 3.64 4.34
William Hill 1.62 3.50 4.60

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.