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Emperor Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University

2 – 1 Full time

29′Y. Fukunaga
35′Y. Fukunaga
46′K. SekitomiT. Suzuki
46′R. MiyaichiJ. Croux
46′R. NittaK. Tanimura
59′N. Ono
61′J. Croux
62′S. RitsukiT. Ukibe
68′J. Amano
75′R. YamaneT. Kida
80′T. KondoD. Tono
82′H. SenoK. Imonawa
82′K. TashiroR. Takagawa
82′H. TakiguchiT. Yoshii
87′S. SuetaniS. Tani

Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. Marinos 59%
Draw 25%
Kyoto Sangyo University 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYokohama F. MarinosDrawKyoto Sangyo University
Model59.4%24.8%15.8%
Market———
Final59.4%24.8%15.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Yokohama F. Marinos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.83.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yokohama F. Ma ↓ / Kyoto Sangyo U → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Yokohama F. Marinos and Kyoto Sangyo University expected goals

Yokohama F. Marinos 1.81
Kyoto Sangyo University 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.64

Yokohama F. Marinos and Kyoto Sangyo University attack and defence ratings

Yokohama F. Marinos

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Kyoto Sangyo University

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University: result vs prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos 2 – 1 Kyoto Sangyo University

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yokohama F. Marinos 59.4% 1.68 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.9% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.2% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.4% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yokohama F. Marinos59.4%
Draw24.8%
Kyoto Sangyo University15.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.1%
Under 2.550.9%
Both teams to scoreYes48.2%
No51.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.2%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)40.6%
Handicap -1Yokohama F. Marinos win35.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss40.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-011.8%
1-111.8%
2-011.7%

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University stats

Yokohama F. Marinos and Kyoto Sangyo University recent form

newest first
Yokohama F. Marinos WDWDLW
Kyoto Sangyo University WWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo University odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.