J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Avispa Fukuoka
vs
Mito Hollyhock
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Arata Watanabe | ||
| 50′ | Kokoro Maeda | ||
| 53′ | Shu Morooka | ||
| 54′ | Yu FunabashiKoshi Osaki | ||
| 57′ | Shu Morooka | ||
| 62′ | Werik PopoShintaro Nago | ||
| 63′ | Kokoro MaedaKeiya Shiihashi | ||
| 63′ | Teppei OkaYota Maejima | ||
| 69′ | Kotaro UchinoPatryck Ferreira | ||
| 69′ | Arata WatanabeChihiro Kato | ||
| 69′ | Kaito TaniguchiHayata Yamamoto | ||
| 70′ | Yoshiki Torikai | ||
| 77′ | Yuma TsujiokaDaiki Miya | ||
| 82′ | Yasuki Kimoto | ||
| 85′ | Yoshiki TorikaiRyo Nemoto | ||
| 86′ | Yasuki Kimoto | ||
| 89′ | Yu HashimotoKazuki Fujimoto |
Avispa Fukuoka
46%
Draw
28%
Mito Hollyhock
26%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 293 | Accurate passes | 349 |
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock
| Probability | Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.0% | 26.0% | 30.0% |
| Market | 47.2% | 28.1% | 24.7% |
| Final | 46.4% | 27.6% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -3.2% | -2.1% | +5.3% |
Why Avispa Fukuoka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.35.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock expected goals
Avispa Fukuoka
1.68
Mito Hollyhock
1.35
Total expected goals: 3.03
Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock attack and defence ratings
Avispa Fukuoka
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Mito Hollyhock
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock: result vs prediction
Avispa Fukuoka 1 – 1 Mito Hollyhock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka
- Kashima vs Urawa — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Kawasaki Frontale v Shimizu S-pulse — match page
Before and after this match
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 46.4% | 2.16 | -3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 46.4% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Mito Hollyhock | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Avispa Fukuoka win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock stats
Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock recent form
| Avispa Fukuoka |
LLDLWL |
| Mito Hollyhock |
WDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Avispa Fukuoka and Mito Hollyhock going into this match
Avispa Fukuoka record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Avispa Fukuoka wins
4Draws
2Mito Hollyhock wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-04 | Mito Hollyhock | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League | 0-1 |
| 2020-08-19 | Avispa Fukuoka | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 0-1 |
| 2019-07-27 | Avispa Fukuoka | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-09 | Mito Hollyhock | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League | 4-2 |
| 2018-08-11 | Avispa Fukuoka | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 2-0 |
| 2018-05-27 | Mito Hollyhock | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League | 0-2 |
| 2017-08-27 | Avispa Fukuoka | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 0-0 |
| 2017-04-22 | Mito Hollyhock | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League | 1-1 |
| 2015-07-12 | Mito Hollyhock | Avispa Fukuoka | J2 League | 2-2 |
| 2015-04-05 | Avispa Fukuoka | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 28.3%, away 24.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.77 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.32 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.44 | 3.86 |
| SBO | 2.04 | 3.02 | 3.24 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 1.94 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.00 ▼ -0.01
X
3.36 ▲ +0.06
2
3.81 ▲ +0.04
5 snapshots recorded, from .