Tokyo Verdy
vs
Kashima
0 – 2 Full time
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima
| Probability | Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Kashima |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.6% | 23.6% | 55.8% |
| Market | 20.3% | 27.4% | 52.3% |
| Final | 20.3% | 26.5% | 53.2% |
| Edge | +0.4% | -3.8% | +3.4% |
Why Kashima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kashima below the model: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tokyo Verdy and Kashima expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Tokyo Verdy and Kashima attack and defence ratings
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima: result vs prediction
Tokyo Verdy 0 – 2 Kashima
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — team news & stats
- Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia — team news & stats
- Shimizu S-pulse v Kashiwa Reysol — match page
- V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba
- Kyoto Sanga v Avispa Fukuoka — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama
- Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 53.2% | 1.88 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tokyo Verdy | 20.3% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Kashima | 53.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 34.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 8.6% |
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima stats
Tokyo Verdy and Kashima recent form
| Tokyo Verdy |
WDLDLD |
| Kashima |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tokyo Verdy and Kashima going into this match
Tokyo Verdy record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Kashima record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Tokyo Verdy | Kashima | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Kashima | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Tokyo Verdy | Kashima | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Kashima | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Tokyo Verdy | Kashima | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Kashima | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.3%, draw 27.4%, away 52.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.80 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| 1xBet | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.40 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.60 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.90 | 3.30 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.81 |
| Marathonbet | 4.50 | 3.52 | 1.77 |
| Pinnacle | 4.95 | 3.40 | 1.79 |
| SBO | 3.98 | 3.16 | 1.79 |
| Superbet | 4.65 | 3.40 | 1.78 |
| Unibet | 4.60 | 3.45 | 1.72 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.30 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .