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J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos

3 – 2 Full time

Saitama Stadium, SaitamaReferee: Harm Osmers, Germany

Urawa 35%
Draw 28%
Yokohama F. Marinos 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUrawaDrawYokohama F. Marinos
Model24.0%25.1%50.9%
Market38.6%28.9%32.4%
Final35.0%28.0%37.0%
Edge-14.7%-3.8%+18.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Yokohama F. Marinos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Yokohama F. Marinos below the model: +18.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Urawa ↓ / Yokohama F. Ma → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Urawa and Yokohama F. Marinos expected goals

Urawa 1.19
Yokohama F. Marinos 1.84

Total expected goals: 3.03

Urawa and Yokohama F. Marinos attack and defence ratings

Urawa

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Yokohama F. Marinos

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos: result vs prediction

Urawa 3 – 2 Yokohama F. Marinos

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yokohama F. Marinos 37.0% 2.70 +18.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.0% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.5% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.0% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.5% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Urawa35.0%
Draw28.0%
Yokohama F. Marinos37.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.0%
Under 2.542.0%
Both teams to scoreYes59.5%
No40.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.0%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1Yokohama F. Marinos win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss48.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
1-29.7%
0-28.1%

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos stats

Urawa and Yokohama F. Marinos recent form

newest first
Urawa WLLLLD
Yokohama F. Marinos WWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Urawa and Yokohama F. Marinos going into this match

league record before kick-off

Urawa record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Yokohama F. Marinos record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Urawa wins 2Draws 4Yokohama F. Marinos wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25UrawaYokohama F. MarinosJ1 League2-3
2026-02-21Yokohama F. MarinosUrawaJ1 League0-2
2025-10-18Yokohama F. MarinosUrawaJ1 League4-0
2025-04-20UrawaYokohama F. MarinosJ1 League3-1
2024-10-30Yokohama F. MarinosUrawaJ1 League0-0
2024-05-06UrawaYokohama F. MarinosJ1 League2-1
2023-10-15UrawaYokohama F. MarinosJ-League Cup2-0
2023-10-11Yokohama F. MarinosUrawaJ-League Cup1-0
2023-08-06UrawaYokohama F. MarinosJ1 League0-0
2023-02-25Yokohama F. MarinosUrawaJ1 League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.6%, draw 28.9%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.45 3.20 2.88
1xBet 2.47 3.38 2.90
Bet365 2.40 3.30 2.90
BetVictor 2.40 3.20 2.88
Betano 2.42 3.15 2.92
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.88
Marathonbet 2.41 3.30 2.83
Pinnacle 2.49 3.25 2.93
SBO 2.32 3.02 2.71
Superbet 2.47 3.15 2.90
Unibet 2.35 3.25 2.80
William Hill 2.45 3.00 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.42 ▲ +0.01
X 3.23 —
2 2.88 ▲ +0.02

7 snapshots recorded, from .