Emperor Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Round
Urawa
vs
Yamanashi Gakuin
3 – 0 Full time
Urawa
46%
Draw
29%
Yamanashi Gakuin
25%
Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin
| Probability | Urawa | Draw | Yamanashi Gakuin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 29.0% | 25.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.9% | 29.0% | 25.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Urawa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.99.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Urawa and Yamanashi Gakuin expected goals
Urawa
1.46
Yamanashi Gakuin
0.99
Total expected goals: 2.45
Urawa and Yamanashi Gakuin attack and defence ratings
Urawa
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Yamanashi Gakuin
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin: result vs prediction
Urawa 3 – 0 Yamanashi Gakuin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 45.9% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Yamanashi Gakuin | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Urawa win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 53.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.2% | |
| 0-0 | 9.8% |
Urawa vs Yamanashi Gakuin stats
Urawa and Yamanashi Gakuin recent form
| Urawa |
LLLLDL |
| Yamanashi Gakuin |
WL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.