Machida Zelvia
vs
Grulla Morioka
3 – 0 Full time
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka
| Probability | Machida Zelvia | Draw | Grulla Morioka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.9% | 21.1% | 12.0% |
| Market | 82.3% | 12.3% | 5.4% |
| Final | 78.4% | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| Edge | -15.4% | +8.8% | +6.5% |
Why Machida Zelvia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Machida Zelvia and Grulla Morioka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Machida Zelvia and Grulla Morioka attack and defence ratings
Machida Zelvia
Grulla Morioka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka: result vs prediction
Machida Zelvia 3 – 0 Grulla Morioka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
- Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Before and after this match
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Machida Zelvia | 78.4% | 1.27 | -15.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Machida Zelvia win | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Machida Zelvia | 78.4% |
| Draw | 14.5% | |
| Grulla Morioka | 7.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Machida Zelvia win | 43.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 33.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.2% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 1-1 | 10.1% |
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka stats
Machida Zelvia and Grulla Morioka recent form
| Machida Zelvia |
WWWWDW |
| Grulla Morioka |
WLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-07-23 | Grulla Morioka | Machida Zelvia | J2 League | 1-3 |
| 2022-06-01 | Machida Zelvia | Grulla Morioka | Emperor Cup | 1-3 |
| 2022-02-27 | Machida Zelvia | Grulla Morioka | J2 League | 1-0 |
| 2015-08-30 | Grulla Morioka | Machida Zelvia | Emperor Cup | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 82.3%, draw 12.3%, away 5.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.11 | 7.40 | 18.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 6.50 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.15 | 6.20 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.15 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12 | 8.21 | 13.16 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 6.57 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.13 | 7.30 | 13.00 |
| Unibet | 1.10 | 8.50 | 12.50 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 7.00 | 17.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .