Emperor Cup · Full time ·2nd Round

Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu

1 – 3 Full time

Sapporo Dome, Sapporo

Consadole Sapporo 50%
Draw 27%
Ventforet Kofu 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityConsadole SapporoDrawVentforet Kofu
Model61.2%21.4%17.4%
Market46.1%28.9%25.0%
Final49.9%27.0%23.1%
Edge+15.1%-7.5%-7.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Consadole Sapporo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.11.
  • The market prices Consadole Sapporo below the model: +15.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Consadole Sapp ↓ / Ventforet Kofu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Consadole Sapporo and Ventforet Kofu expected goals

Consadole Sapporo 2.26
Ventforet Kofu 1.11

Total expected goals: 3.37

Consadole Sapporo and Ventforet Kofu attack and defence ratings

Consadole Sapporo

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Ventforet Kofu

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu: result vs prediction

Consadole Sapporo 1 – 3 Ventforet Kofu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Round fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Consadole Sapporo 49.9% 2.00 +15.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.0% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Consadole Sapporo win 40.5% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Consadole Sapporo49.9%
Draw27.0%
Ventforet Kofu23.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.0%
Under 2.535.0%
Both teams to scoreYes61.1%
No38.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.9%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)50.1%
Handicap -1Consadole Sapporo win40.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss37.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.8%
1-19.7%
2-08.7%

Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu stats

Consadole Sapporo and Ventforet Kofu recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Consadole Sapporo wins 1Draws 7Ventforet Kofu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Ventforet KofuConsadole SapporoJ2/J3 League2-1
2026-03-21Consadole SapporoVentforet KofuJ2/J3 League1-0
2025-08-23Ventforet KofuConsadole SapporoJ2 League1-2
2025-03-29Consadole SapporoVentforet KofuJ2 League0-1
2022-06-22Consadole SapporoVentforet KofuEmperor Cup1-2
2018-05-09Consadole SapporoVentforet KofuJ-League Cup0-3
2018-03-07Ventforet KofuConsadole SapporoJ-League Cup3-0
2017-08-13Consadole SapporoVentforet KofuJ1 League1-1
2017-04-02Ventforet KofuConsadole SapporoJ1 League2-0
2013-11-20Ventforet KofuConsadole SapporoEmperor Cup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.1%, draw 28.9%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.98 3.20 3.65
1xBet 2.01 3.16 3.85
Bet365 1.91 3.10 3.60
BetVictor 1.95 3.20 3.75
Betano 1.98 3.10 3.60
Betfair 1.91 3.25 3.60
Dafabet 2.02 3.30 4.00
Marathonbet 1.99 3.16 3.84
Pinnacle 2.01 3.24 3.88
SBO 1.92 2.98 3.42
Superbet 1.97 3.15 3.75
Unibet 1.98 3.05 3.55
William Hill 2.00 2.88 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.98 ▼ -0.01
X 3.16 ▲ +0.02
2 3.65 ▼ -0.10

3 snapshots recorded, from .