Emperor Cup · Full time ·2nd Round

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United

1 – 0 Full time

Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. Marinos 48%
Draw 21%
Fukushima United 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYokohama F. MarinosDrawFukushima United
Model48.4%21.3%30.3%
Market———
Final48.4%21.3%30.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Yokohama F. Marinos

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 1.77.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yokohama F. Ma ↓ / Fukushima Unit → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Yokohama F. Marinos and Fukushima United expected goals

Yokohama F. Marinos 2.31
Fukushima United 1.77

Total expected goals: 4.08

Yokohama F. Marinos and Fukushima United attack and defence ratings

Yokohama F. Marinos

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Fukushima United

Attack 2.02 +102%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United: result vs prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos 1 – 0 Fukushima United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Round fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yokohama F. Marinos 48.4% 2.06 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.7% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.9% 1.32 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.4% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yokohama F. Marinos48.4%
Draw21.3%
Fukushima United30.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.7%
Under 2.522.3%
Both teams to scoreYes75.9%
No24.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.7%
12 (either side)78.7%
X2 (draw or away)51.6%
Handicap -1Yokohama F. Marinos win30.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss50.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-17.9%
1-17.5%
2-27.1%

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United stats

Yokohama F. Marinos and Fukushima United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Yokohama F. Marinos wins 0Draws 0Fukushima United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2016-09-07Yokohama F. MarinosFukushima UnitedEmperor Cup2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fukushima United odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.