J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe

1 – 0 Full time

Nissan Stadium, YokohamaReferee: Akihiko Ikeuchi, Japan

Yokohama F. Marinos 33%
Draw 28%
Vissel Kobe 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYokohama F. MarinosDrawVissel Kobe
Model43.6%25.4%31.0%
Market28.8%28.4%42.8%
Final32.5%27.6%39.8%
Edge+14.8%-3.0%-11.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yokohama F. Ma ↓ / Vissel Kobe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Yokohama F. Marinos and Vissel Kobe expected goals

Yokohama F. Marinos 1.74
Vissel Kobe 1.43

Total expected goals: 3.17

Yokohama F. Marinos and Vissel Kobe attack and defence ratings

Yokohama F. Marinos

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Vissel Kobe

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe: result vs prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos 1 – 0 Vissel Kobe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vissel Kobe 39.8% 2.51 -11.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.4% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.1% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yokohama F. Marinos32.5%
Draw27.6%
Vissel Kobe39.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.2%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)67.5%
Handicap -1Vissel Kobe win14.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.3%
Loss69.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe stats

Yokohama F. Marinos and Vissel Kobe recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Yokohama F. Marinos and Vissel Kobe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Yokohama F. Marinos record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vissel Kobe record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 28.8%, draw 28.4%, away 42.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.45 3.35 2.10
1xBet 3.21 3.36 2.28
Bet365 3.40 3.20 2.20
BetVictor 3.25 3.30 2.25
Betano 3.45 3.30 2.10
Betfair 3.25 3.30 2.15
Dafabet 3.50 3.35 2.19
Marathonbet 3.14 3.28 2.23
Pinnacle 3.20 3.44 2.33
SBO 3.14 3.04 2.08
Superbet 3.25 3.25 2.20
Unibet 3.35 3.30 2.06
William Hill 3.25 3.20 2.10

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.