Kashima
vs
Avispa Fukuoka
3 – 2 Full time
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka
| Probability | Kashima | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 28.6% | 31.0% |
| Market | 53.6% | 27.6% | 18.8% |
| Final | 50.3% | 27.8% | 21.8% |
| Edge | -13.2% | +1.0% | +12.2% |
Why Kashima
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kashima and Avispa Fukuoka expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
Kashima and Avispa Fukuoka attack and defence ratings
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka: result vs prediction
Kashima 3 – 2 Avispa Fukuoka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Kashiwa Reysol v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba
- Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
- Yokohama F. Marinos v Vissel Kobe — match page
Before and after this match
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 50.3% | 1.99 | -13.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 50.3% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.4% |
| No | 45.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.8% |
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka stats
Kashima and Avispa Fukuoka recent form
| Kashima |
WWWLWW |
| Avispa Fukuoka |
WLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kashima and Avispa Fukuoka going into this match
Kashima record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Avispa Fukuoka record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-06 | Kashima | Avispa Fukuoka | Emperor Cup | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 27.6%, away 18.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 3.35 | 5.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.46 | 4.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.55 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.35 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 3.59 | 5.46 |
| SBO | 1.78 | 3.05 | 4.22 |
| Superbet | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Unibet | 1.76 | 3.25 | 4.70 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.30 | 5.00 |