Emperor Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Round
Kashima
vs
Suzuka Unlimited
3 – 0 Full time
Kashima
68%
Draw
20%
Suzuka Unlimited
12%
Kashima vs Suzuka Unlimited overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashima vs Suzuka Unlimited
| Probability | Kashima | Draw | Suzuka Unlimited |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.6% | 20.0% | 12.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.6% | 20.0% | 12.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kashima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.29 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Kashima and Suzuka Unlimited expected goals
Kashima
2.29
Suzuka Unlimited
0.87
Total expected goals: 3.16
Kashima and Suzuka Unlimited attack and defence ratings
Kashima
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Suzuka Unlimited
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kashima vs Suzuka Unlimited: result vs prediction
Kashima 3 – 0 Suzuka Unlimited
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kashima vs Suzuka Unlimited markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 67.6% |
| Draw | 20.0% | |
| Suzuka Unlimited | 12.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 46.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 31.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.5% |
Kashima vs Suzuka Unlimited stats
Kashima and Suzuka Unlimited recent form
| Kashima |
WWWWLW |
| Suzuka Unlimited |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.