Avispa Fukuoka
vs
Verspah Oita
0 – 0 Full time
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita
| Probability | Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.6% | 22.7% | 16.7% |
| Market | 84.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% |
| Final | 78.2% | 13.7% | 8.0% |
| Edge | -23.5% | +11.9% | +11.6% |
Why Avispa Fukuoka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Avispa Fukuoka and Verspah Oita expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Avispa Fukuoka and Verspah Oita attack and defence ratings
Avispa Fukuoka
Verspah Oita
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita: result vs prediction
Avispa Fukuoka 0 – 0 Verspah Oita
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 78.2% | 1.28 | -23.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Avispa Fukuoka win | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Avispa Fukuoka | 78.2% |
| Draw | 13.7% | |
| Verspah Oita | 8.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Avispa Fukuoka win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 38.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.7% |
| 2-0 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 10.0% |
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita stats
Avispa Fukuoka and Verspah Oita recent form
| Avispa Fukuoka |
LWLWDL |
| Verspah Oita |
WL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Avispa Fukuoka vs Verspah Oita odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 84.1%, draw 10.8%, away 5.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.06 | 9.30 | 27.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.10 | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.08 | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| Betano | 1.13 | 7.10 | 12.00 |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 9.50 | 18.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.12 | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.10 | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| SBO | 1.10 | 7.43 | 11.56 |
| Superbet | 1.10 | 8.60 | 14.00 |
| Unibet | 1.08 | 9.50 | 13.00 |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 8.00 | 29.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .