J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
vs
Kawasaki Frontale
1 – 1 Full time
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
62%
Draw
22%
Kawasaki Frontale
16%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
| Probability | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.4% | 22.1% | 12.5% |
| Market | 60.7% | 22.2% | 17.1% |
| Final | 61.9% | 22.2% | 15.9% |
| Edge | +4.7% | -0.1% | -4.6% |
Why Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sanfrecce Hiroshima below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale expected goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2.02
Kawasaki Frontale
0.77
Total expected goals: 2.79
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale attack and defence ratings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Attack
1.46 +46%
Defence
0.67 -33%
Kawasaki Frontale
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale: result vs prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1 – 1 Kawasaki Frontale
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Kashiwa Reysol v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba
- Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka
- Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka — match page
- Yokohama F. Marinos v Vissel Kobe — match page
Before and after this match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 61.9% | 1.62 | +4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 61.9% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 15.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 34.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.6% |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale stats
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale recent form
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
WWWWWW |
| Kawasaki Frontale |
DDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale going into this match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Kawasaki Frontale record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
0Draws
0Kawasaki Frontale wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Kawasaki Frontale | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 22.2%, away 17.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.43 | 5.73 |
| 888Sport | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.15 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.33 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 4.63 | 5.70 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.72 | 4.34 |
| Superbet | 1.51 | 4.45 | 5.40 |
| Unibet | 1.58 | 3.95 | 4.90 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 |