Emperor Cup · Full time ·2nd Round

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC

3 – 1 Full time

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki

Kawasaki Frontale 67%
Draw 19%
Tochigi SC 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKawasaki FrontaleDrawTochigi SC
Model42.1%29.0%29.0%
Market75.9%15.8%8.4%
Final67.4%19.1%13.5%
Edge-33.8%+13.2%+20.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Kawasaki Frontale

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 1.11.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kawasaki Front ↓ / Tochigi SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Kawasaki Frontale and Tochigi SC expected goals

Kawasaki Frontale 1.42
Tochigi SC 1.11

Total expected goals: 2.53

Kawasaki Frontale and Tochigi SC attack and defence ratings

Kawasaki Frontale

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Tochigi SC

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC: result vs prediction

Kawasaki Frontale 3 – 1 Tochigi SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Round fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kawasaki Frontale 67.4% 1.48 -33.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.5% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.0% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kawasaki Frontale67.4%
Draw19.1%
Tochigi SC13.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.6%
Under 2.553.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.5%
12 (either side)80.9%
X2 (draw or away)32.6%
Handicap -1Kawasaki Frontale win21.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss57.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-09.9%
0-09.1%

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC stats

Kawasaki Frontale and Tochigi SC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Kawasaki Frontale wins 0Draws 0Tochigi SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-06-03Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SCFriendlies Clubs4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Tochigi SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 75.9%, draw 15.8%, away 8.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.22 5.75 10.50
1xBet 1.22 5.95 11.60
Bet365 1.18 6.50 11.00
BetVictor 1.20 5.75 11.50
Betano 1.23 5.30 9.25
Betfair 1.18 6.00 11.00
Dafabet 1.24 6.60 11.00
Marathonbet 1.21 5.95 11.75
Pinnacle 1.21 5.54 8.54
SBO 1.22 5.13 7.91
Unibet 1.18 6.00 10.50
William Hill 1.22 5.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.21 ▲ +0.05
X 5.85 ▼ -0.55
2 11.00 ▼ -4.00

3 snapshots recorded, from .