J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Shimizu S-pulse
vs
Gamba Osaka
2 – 2 Full time
| 9′ | Yuki Honda | ||
| 23′ | Ryoya Yamashita | ||
| 24′ | Ryo Hatsuse | ||
| 42′ | Kai Matsuzaki | ||
| 45′ | Yusei ToshidaTakashi Usami | ||
| 45′ | Rin MitoEli Adams | ||
| 47′ | Hidehiro Sugai | ||
| 64′ | Kenta InoueTomoya Fujii | ||
| 65′ | WeltonRyotaro Meshino | ||
| 75′ | T. Myojin | ||
| 75′ | Mateus Brunetti ValorYutaka Yoshida | ||
| 75′ | Oh Se-hunYudai Shimamoto | ||
| 76′ | Shota FukuokaTsuyoshi Ogashiwa | ||
| 77′ | Shinya NakanoRyo Hatsuse | ||
| 84′ | Ryotaro Meshino | ||
| 90′ | Kai MatsuzakiPark Seung-Wook | ||
| 90′ | Issam Jebali |
Shimizu S-pulse
41%
Draw
28%
Gamba Osaka
31%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 162 | Accurate passes | 399 |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka
| Probability | Shimizu S-pulse | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.7% | 30.0% | 32.4% |
| Market | 41.7% | 27.8% | 30.6% |
| Final | 40.7% | 28.3% | 31.0% |
| Edge | -1.0% | +0.6% | +0.5% |
Why Shimizu S-pulse
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
71%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka expected goals
Shimizu S-pulse
1.27
Gamba Osaka
1.16
Total expected goals: 2.44
Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka attack and defence ratings
Shimizu S-pulse
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Gamba Osaka
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka: result vs prediction
Shimizu S-pulse 2 – 2 Gamba Osaka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga
- Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- Mito Hollyhock v Urawa — match page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shimizu S-pulse | 40.7% | 2.46 | -1.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shimizu S-pulse | 40.7% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Gamba Osaka | 31.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.8% |
| No | 49.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shimizu S-pulse win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 62.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.0% | |
| 1-0 | 9.8% |
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka stats
Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka recent form
| Shimizu S-pulse |
WWWWLD |
| Gamba Osaka |
LWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shimizu S-pulse and Gamba Osaka going into this match
Shimizu S-pulse record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gamba Osaka record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Shimizu S-pulse wins
4Draws
4Gamba Osaka wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Gamba Osaka | Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-15 | Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Gamba Osaka | Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2022-08-14 | Gamba Osaka | Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-10 | Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-13 | Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2021-04-18 | Gamba Osaka | Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2020-12-19 | Gamba Osaka | Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League | 0-2 |
| 2020-07-12 | Shimizu S-pulse | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 27.5%, away 30.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.42 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.34 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.47 | 3.15 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.15 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▲ +0.08
X
3.38 ▼ -0.17
2
3.07 ▼ -0.01
10 snapshots recorded, from .