Cerezo Osaka
vs
Kawasaki Frontale
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kawasaki Frontale
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale
| Probability | Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 27.2% | 40.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.2% | 27.2% | 40.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kawasaki Frontale
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale match preview
Cerezo Osaka faces Kawasaki Frontale in an upcoming J1 League match, with probabilities indicating a 32% chance for a Cerezo Osaka victory, a 27% likelihood of a draw, and a 41% chance for Kawasaki Frontale to win. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Cerezo Osaka stand at 1.33, while Kawasaki Frontale is projected to score 1.52.
In terms of recent form, Cerezo Osaka has recorded a sequence of results with two draws, a win, and two losses, while Kawasaki Frontale has shown stronger performance with four wins, a draw, and one loss in their last six matches. The model suggests a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance that both teams will score in this encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale attack and defence ratings
Cerezo Osaka
Kawasaki Frontale
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerezo Osaka | 32.2% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 40.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.7% |
| No | 41.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.9% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale stats
Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale recent form
| Cerezo Osaka |
DWDLDW |
| Kawasaki Frontale |
WDWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale season so far
Cerezo Osaka record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Kawasaki Frontale record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.