J1 League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe

Garuda Lions Prediction: Vissel Kobe

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki

Kawasaki Frontale 33%
Draw 26%
Vissel Kobe 42%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Vissel Kobe wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
64%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKawasaki FrontaleDrawVissel Kobe
Model33.0%25.5%41.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final33.0%25.5%41.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Vissel Kobe

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe match preview

Kawasaki Frontale will face Vissel Kobe in an intriguing J1 League matchup. According to our model, Kawasaki Frontale has a 33% probability of winning, while Vissel Kobe holds a 42% chance. The expected goals for Kawasaki Frontale are 1.49, compared to Vissel Kobe's 1.69. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 9% likelihood.

Both teams have shown strong recent form, with Kawasaki Frontale recording three wins in their last five matches, while Vissel Kobe has won six consecutive games. The model indicates a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance that both teams will score. Historically, in their last 10 encounters, Kawasaki Frontale has won 5 times, Vissel Kobe 4 times, and there has been 1 draw.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kawasaki Front ↓ / Vissel Kobe β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe expected goals

Kawasaki Frontale 1.49
Vissel Kobe 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.18

Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe attack and defence ratings

Kawasaki Frontale

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Vissel Kobe

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vissel Kobe 41.5% 2.41 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 64.2% 1.56 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kawasaki Frontale33.0%
Draw25.5%
Vissel Kobe41.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%
Both teams to scoreYes64.2%
No35.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.5%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)67.0%
Handicap -1Vissel Kobe win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.5%
1-28.8%
2-17.8%

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe stats

Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kawasaki Frontale and Vissel Kobe season so far

league record

Kawasaki Frontale record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vissel Kobe record

  • They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Kawasaki Frontale wins 1Draws 4Vissel Kobe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-06-21Kawasaki FrontaleVissel KobeJ1 League1-2
2025-04-16Vissel KobeKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League2-1
2024-08-07Kawasaki FrontaleVissel KobeJ1 League3-0
2024-06-16Vissel KobeKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League1-0
2024-02-17Vissel KobeKawasaki FrontaleSuper Cup0-1
2023-08-12Kawasaki FrontaleVissel KobeJ1 League0-1
2023-07-22Vissel KobeKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League2-2
2022-10-29Kawasaki FrontaleVissel KobeJ1 League2-1
2022-05-18Vissel KobeKawasaki FrontaleJ1 League0-1
2021-09-29Kawasaki FrontaleVissel KobeJ1 League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Vissel Kobe Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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