Kawasaki Frontale
vs
Fagiano Okayama
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kawasaki Frontale
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama
| Probability | Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Fagiano Okayama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.4% | 22.9% | 22.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.4% | 22.9% | 22.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kawasaki Frontale
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama match preview
Kawasaki Frontale enters this matchup against Fagiano Okayama with a 54% probability of winning, while both teams are equally positioned at 23% for a draw or an Okayama victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Kawasaki Frontale, with a 10% likelihood. The expected goals for Kawasaki Frontale stand at 2.08, compared to 1.31 for Fagiano Okayama.
In terms of recent form, Kawasaki Frontale has recorded a sequence of results showing W-L-W-D-W-W, while Fagiano Okayama's recent performance includes L-L-W-L-W-W. The model indicates a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% probability that both teams will score, suggesting an engaging contest ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama attack and defence ratings
Kawasaki Frontale
Fagiano Okayama
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Kashima v Kashiwa Reysol — match page
- Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka
- Vissel Kobe v Machida Zelvia — match page
- Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga
- Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba — match page
- Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki — team news & stats
- FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 54.4% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| Fagiano Okayama | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.8% |
| No | 35.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win | 33.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 45.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 2-0 | 7.3% |
Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama stats
Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama recent form
| Kawasaki Frontale |
WLWDWW |
| Fagiano Okayama |
LLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kawasaki Frontale and Fagiano Okayama season so far
Kawasaki Frontale record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fagiano Okayama record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.