Yokohama F. Marinos
vs
Kawasaki Frontale
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kawasaki Frontale
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kawasaki Frontale is the favourite, not a value bet.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale
| Probability | Yokohama F. Marinos | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 28.6% | 34.1% |
| Market | 31.2% | 25.2% | 43.6% |
| Final | 32.8% | 26.0% | 41.2% |
| Edge | +1.5% | +0.9% | -2.4% |
Why Kawasaki Frontale
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.3% per unit staked (our 41.2% × 2.20 − 1).
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale match preview
Yokohama F. Marinos face Kawasaki Frontale in a J1 League matchup with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Yokohama F. Marinos have drawn four of their last five matches, with one win, while Kawasaki Frontale have won three of their last five, alongside one loss and one draw. The probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with Kawasaki Frontale having a 41% chance of winning compared to Yokohama F. Marinos' 33%.
The expected goals suggest a closely contested match, with Yokohama F. Marinos at 1.36 and Kawasaki Frontale at 1.29. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2 in favor of Kawasaki Frontale, with a 55% chance for both teams to score and a 49% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale attack and defence ratings
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Mito Hollyhock v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — match page
- Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka
- Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
- Kashiwa Reysol v Urawa — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka — team news & stats
- V-varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka
Before and after this match
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawasaki Frontale | 41.2% | 2.43 | -2.4% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 32.8% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawasaki Frontale win | 15.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale stats
Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale recent form
| Yokohama F. Marinos |
DDDDWW |
| Kawasaki Frontale |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Yokohama F. Marinos and Kawasaki Frontale season so far
Yokohama F. Marinos record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kawasaki Frontale record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League | 1-2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Kawasaki Frontale | Yokohama F. Marinos | J1 League | 0-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.2%, draw 25.2%, away 43.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.02 | 3.82 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.70 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.95 | 3.72 | 2.14 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.77 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.15 |