Kashiwa Reysol
vs
Urawa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kashiwa Reysol
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.66.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Kashiwa Reysol is the favourite, not a value bet.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa
| Probability | Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 21.9% | 28.3% |
| Market | 45.7% | 25.0% | 29.3% |
| Final | 46.7% | 24.2% | 29.0% |
| Edge | +1.0% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
Why Kashiwa Reysol
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.66.
Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.2% per unit staked (our 46.7% × 2.07 − 1).
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa match preview
Kashiwa Reysol faces Urawa in a J1 League matchup with Kashiwa Reysol holding a 52% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Kashiwa Reysol stand at 2.42, while Urawa is projected to score 1.74. Recent form shows Kashiwa Reysol with three wins in their last five matches, while Urawa has also secured three wins but has a mixed record with two losses.
The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Kashiwa Reysol, occurring at an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams scoring at 76%. In their last two encounters, Kashiwa Reysol has not secured a win against Urawa, with one draw and one loss.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.87
Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa attack and defence ratings
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
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- Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka — team news & stats
- V-varen Nagasaki v Tokyo Verdy — match page
Before and after this match
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 46.7% | 2.14 | +1.0% | 2.07 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 46.7% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Urawa | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.9% |
| No | 27.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashiwa Reysol win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.5% |
| 1-1 | 8.4% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa stats
Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa recent form
| Kashiwa Reysol |
WDLWWW |
| Urawa |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kashiwa Reysol and Urawa season so far
Kashiwa Reysol record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Urawa record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Kashiwa Reysol | Urawa | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Urawa | Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kashiwa Reysol vs Urawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.7%, draw 25.0%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.82 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.72 | 3.22 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.86 | 3.28 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |