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J1 League · ·Matchday 14

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa

Garuda Lions Prediction: Vissel Kobe

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.08.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Bet on Vissel Kobe

Japan National Stadium, Tokyo

Vissel Kobe 48%
Draw 26%
Urawa 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Vissel Kobe wins
48%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vissel Kobe vs Urawa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVissel KobeDrawUrawa
Model59.5%22.5%18.0%
Market43.7%26.9%29.4%
Final47.7%25.8%26.5%
Edge+3.9%-1.1%-2.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Vissel Kobe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.08.
  • The market prices Vissel Kobe below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.9% per unit staked (our 47.7% × 2.20 − 1).

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa match preview

Vissel Kobe enters the match against Urawa with a probability of 59% to win, while Urawa has an 18% chance of victory. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Vissel Kobe, which aligns with an expected goals tally of 2.08 for them compared to 1.07 for Urawa. Additionally, there is a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 59% likelihood.

In terms of recent form, Vissel Kobe has recorded two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Urawa has achieved three wins and two losses in the same timeframe. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vissel Kobe ↓ / Urawa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 10% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Vissel Kobe and Urawa expected goals

Vissel Kobe 2.08
Urawa 1.08

Total expected goals: 3.16

Vissel Kobe and Urawa attack and defence ratings

Vissel Kobe

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Urawa

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vissel Kobe 47.7% 2.10 +3.9% 2.20
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.3% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.8% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.2% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.5% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vissel Kobe47.7%
Draw25.8%
Urawa26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.3%
Under 2.538.7%
Both teams to scoreYes58.8%
No41.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)52.3%
Handicap -1Vissel Kobe win37.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss40.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.5%
2-19.9%
2-09.2%
Compare prices for this pick

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa stats

Vissel Kobe and Urawa recent form

newest first
Vissel Kobe WDLWLW
Urawa LWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vissel Kobe and Urawa season so far

league record

Vissel Kobe record

  • They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Urawa record

  • They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Vissel Kobe wins 4Draws 3Urawa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-04UrawaVissel KobeJ1 League1-0
2025-02-15Vissel KobeUrawaJ1 League0-0
2024-09-28Vissel KobeUrawaJ1 League1-0
2024-06-01UrawaVissel KobeJ1 League1-1
2023-11-12UrawaVissel KobeJ1 League1-2
2023-03-11Vissel KobeUrawaJ1 League0-1
2022-06-26Vissel KobeUrawaJ1 League0-1
2022-02-23UrawaVissel KobeJ1 League2-2
2021-10-02Vissel KobeUrawaJ1 League5-1
2021-06-13UrawaVissel KobeJ-League Cup2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vissel Kobe vs Urawa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 26.9%, away 29.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 3.53 3.34
Bet365 2.15 3.50 3.20
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 3.25
Betano 2.18 3.40 3.15
Betfair 2.15 3.50 3.10
Marathonbet 2.10 3.44 3.25
Pinnacle 2.17 3.52 3.30
SBO 2.20 3.08 2.85
William Hill 2.15 3.25 3.10
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.16
X 3.50 —
2 3.20 ▼ -0.30

11 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Vissel Kobe Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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