Vissel Kobe
vs
Machida Zelvia
Garuda Lions Prediction: Machida Zelvia
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia
| Probability | Vissel Kobe | Draw | Machida Zelvia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 27.9% | 37.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.9% | 27.9% | 37.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia match preview
Vissel Kobe faces Machida Zelvia in the J1 League with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Vissel Kobe has recorded five wins and one loss in their last six matches, while Machida Zelvia has achieved four wins, one loss, and one draw in the same timeframe. The probability model suggests a close contest, with Vissel Kobe at 34% to win, a draw at 27%, and Machida Zelvia slightly favored at 38%.
The expected goals indicate a competitive match, with Vissel Kobe projected at 1.38 and Machida Zelvia at 1.47. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-2 in favor of Machida Zelvia, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia attack and defence ratings
Vissel Kobe
Machida Zelvia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka
- Gamba Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga
- Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Cerezo Osaka v JEF United Chiba — match page
- Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki — team news & stats
- FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Machida Zelvia | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vissel Kobe | 34.9% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Machida Zelvia | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Machida Zelvia win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 62.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia stats
Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia recent form
| Vissel Kobe |
WLWWWW |
| Machida Zelvia |
WWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia season so far
Vissel Kobe record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Machida Zelvia record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Machida Zelvia | Vissel Kobe | Emperor Cup | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.